Border and Port Security

The Center for Preventive Action breaks down the top global threats of 2024, including a possible surge in migration to the southwest border of the United States.
Jan 4, 2024
The Center for Preventive Action breaks down the top global threats of 2024, including a possible surge in migration to the southwest border of the United States.
Jan 4, 2024
  • United States
    U.S. Postwar Immigration Policy
    Immigration has been an important element of U.S. economic and cultural vitality since the country’s founding. This interactive timeline outlines the evolution of U.S. immigration policy after World War II.
  • Haiti
    Why Are Haitian Migrants Gathering at the U.S. Border?
    The arrival of tens of thousands of Haitian migrants at the U.S.-Mexico border has generated domestic criticism from all sides that the Biden administration has poorly handled a cascading humanitarian crisis.  
  • Immigration and Migration
    Reporting on U.S. Immigration Policies and Migration
    Play
    Paul Angelo, fellow for Latin America studies at CFR, provides background on immigration policies and context for the rise of migrants at the U.S.-Mexico border. Dianne Solis, senior immigration reporter at Dallas Morning News, speaks on best practices for reporting on immigrants themselves and the policies governing their status. Carla Anne Robbins, adjunct senior fellow at CFR and former deputy editorial page editor at the New York Times, hosts the webinar. FASKIANOS: Thank you. Welcome to the Council on Foreign Relations Local Journalist webinar series. I’m Irina Faskianos, vice president for the National Program and Outreach here at CFR. As you know, CFR’s an independent nonpartisan organization and think tank focusing on U.S. foreign policy. This webinar is part of CFR’s Local Journalist Initiative, created to help you draw connections between the local issues you cover to national and international dynamics. Our programming puts you in touch with CFR resources and expertise on international issues and provides a forum for sharing best practices. This webinar is on the record and the video and transcript will be posted on our website after the fact at CFR.org/localjournalists. Today we’ll be talking about reporting on immigration policies and migration with our speakers Paul Angelo, Dianne Solis, and host Carla Anne Robbins. We circulated their bios, so I will just share a few highlights. Paul Angelo is a fellow for Latin America studies at CFR. His work focuses on U.S. Latin American relations, transnational crime, violent actors, military and police reform, and immigration. He was formerly an international affairs fellow at CFR and in this capacity he represented the U.S. State Department as a political officer at the U.S. Embassy in Honduras. Dianne Solis is a reporter at the Dallas Morning News, where she covers immigration and social justice issues. Prior to her twenty-two years at the Dallas Morning News, she spent thirteen years as a correspondent for the Wall Street Journal in Mexico City and Houston. And she was a Nieman fellow at Harvard University. And Carla Anne Robbins is an adjunct senior fellow at CFR. She is also faculty director of the Master of International Affairs Program and clinical professor of national security studies at Baruch College’s Marxe School of Public and International Affairs. And previously she was deputy editorial page editor at the New York Times, and chief diplomatic correspondent at the Wall Street Journal. Welcome to you all. Thank you very much for being with us today. I’m going to turn it over to Carla to have the conversation with both of you, and then we will turn to everyone on this call for their questions, comments, and to share best practices. So, Carla, take it away. ROBBINS: Thank you so much, Irina. And thank you, Paul and my old friend Dianne. It’s so great to see you again. I’m not going to talk about how many decades it’s been since we went to Nieman summer camp together. And thank you, everybody, for joining us and for doing the extraordinary work that you do as local reporters. It’s incredibly important and an incredibly challenging time in local journalism. So with that, I’m sure everybody has a lot of questions for our experts. So I’m not going to get in the way much, but I am going to take the prerogative and pitch some questions. So, Paul, I’m going to start with you, because you’re the policy wonk. And I’m going to ask a policy wonkish question of you. So why is there such a surge? And the surge is enormous with Biden, of course, but it predates Biden. Just a few recent stats, you know, border patrol agents apprehended a million people in the first nine months of the fiscal year, which is an enormous number of people. Nearly 56,000 family members and 15,000 unaccompanied minors in June alone. Those are really big numbers. But it’s not just all Biden, despite what President Trump would suggest. You know, what’s the push factor here? And when did it start? ANGELO: Thanks, Carla. And I’d like to thank Irina for the opportunity to join all of you today. I’m looking forward to hearing from all of our local journalists, seeing that so many of you have your finger on the pulse of the border beat. Unfortunately, I’m located in Washington, D.C., so I don’t get down to the border as much as I’d like. But I look forward to hearing your perspectives. And it’s also a real honor to be on the panel with Dianne and Carla. So, you know, turning our attention to the border, of course we have a new administration in the United States. And among the first foreign and domestic policy challenges that the Biden administration faced was on the migration front. For me and for people who have been watching the border, like many of you, this isn’t surprising. For anyone who’s been paying attention to the border in recent years we could have all predicted this. And there are a handful of reasons that stand out to me from the get-go. The first is that this surge is a natural evolution of an ongoing trend. We look over the past decade, the year with the highest spike in migrant apprehensions at the U.S. border was 2019. And this is when President Trump’s anti-immigrant rhetoric, migrant protection protocols, the safe third country agreement with Guatemala and the asylum cooperation agreements with Honduras and El Salvador were all in full swing. Despite all of those measures, migration was at a ten-year peak in 2019. 2020, with the pandemic, we saw a bit of a reprieve for the U.S. government due to COVID-19 restrictions on movement that were imposed in places like Mexico and Central America. But once national governments reopened their borders, all that pent up demographic pressure was going to result inevitably in an increase in migration. Second thing I would say is that the Trump administration very much was kicking the ball down the court. Asylum cooperation agreements, for instance, were more symbolic than they were substantive. Places like Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador never had robust asylum systems, nor do they have the resources or interest in developing them. And so it was more of a symbolic measure than it was one that was actually going to push asylum applicants to the Northern Triangle, rather than to Mexico or the United States. Likewise, we always see an uptick in migration at the beginning of a calendar year due to seasonal labor and weather patterns. And similarly, on the eve of Joe Biden’s election—excuse me—I meant the eve of Joe Biden’s inauguration, we had more than 42,000 asylum applicants or candidates camped out on the Mexican side of the border due to programs like migrant protection protocols and metering. And so inevitably the Biden administration’s decision to reactivate our asylum system, to bring the U.S. in compliance with its international humanitarian legal obligations was inevitably going to result in more asylum requests. And then there were other things, particularly the conditions—or, what we call the root causes of migration in Central America—that have, you know, been fueling migration from that region and southern Mexico for much of the past decade. Most immediately I would say that back-to-back category five and category four hurricanes in the fall, which killed off 140,000 livestock, 90 percent of Honduras’ bean and corn crops, in an economy that is largely subsistence in rural spaces, fueled migration. But moreover, what we’re seeing in Central America is an acceleration of democratic backsliding. And you know, I think if we look to where Central America was even five years ago, there was—there was still a lot more hope for the region. There were—you know, the anti-corruption crusade was in full swing in places like Guatemala and Honduras. But during the Trump administration, a lot of those priorities took a backseat for U.S. policy in Latin America. And so now what we’re seeing is a real sense of malaise or frustration that these are political systems and economies that no longer—or, that don’t take into account the needs of their people. And this is precisely what’s fueling this recent surge in migration. ROBBINS: So that’s all very cheery. Thank you, Paul, for starting it off. (Laughs.) So, Dianne, to continue on with the policy perspective, so President Biden ran promising to address the Trump administration’s, well, frankly, abusive immigration policies—separation of families, denial of asylum rights which are under international law, his constant demonization of immigrants. You know, has he? Is he? Is it any better at all, from what you’re seeing on the ground? SOLIS: I think there’s a real pivot in language. But on a practical level, the change has been really slow. The biggest change that hasn’t happened is with the policy from the Trump era related to the pandemic called Title 42. And that’s put a tourniquet on asylum at the border—largely put a tourniquet on asylum. And it’s a big challenge. Biden has to decide whether he’s going to end it or not. It looked like he probably would have this summer, but then we had this new surge in COVID cases and, you know, the monster Delta variant. So it’s slow change. On DACA there’s been a lot of support— ROBBINS: So just a minute, 42, which probably everybody knows, is the CDC, which allows them to just remove anybody or deny entry to anybody based on health reasons. SOLIS: Right. And it’s named after its location in the—in the immigration code, I believe. ROBBINS: Yeah. SOLIS: Not in the immigration code, but in the general federal code. It’s in the area that’s called Title 42 and deals with health policy. And that’s still in place, except for unaccompanied minors. And they can come across. That’s a big change that he made—that Biden made, the Biden team made. And we’re seeing a surge in those numbers. Most notably in the increase of people coming, one should note that it’s really hot right now. And yet, there’s an increase. And that’s not normal. And it indicates that there are serious problems back in the home countries, and a belief that things will change under the Biden administration. And also, some of the people that are coming across are repeat crossers. The government estimates that 33 to 40 percent of those who come across are repeat crossers. So it’s not an increase or spike in individuals who come across, but it’s an increase in what the government now calls encounters. ROBBINS: So one of the things that was most horrifying about the Trump administration policy—I’m not sure whether I’m allowed to use words like that—which was the separation of children, and separation of families, the treatment of unaccompanied minors. That is a difference with Biden, in both the way they’re dealing with people in the near term, in the first forty-eight hours, or whenever the term is, as well as supposedly, you know, they’re trying to find housing and dealing with family members. What do you think about that? Are they dealing with these kids any better? And do they—you know, have they come up with a plan? Is the housing OK? Are they dealing with their schooling? I mean, this a pretty fundamental issue of humanity here. SOLIS: Indeed, it is. And it’s one that I think troubles people perhaps most deeply, because these are really vulnerable children. Some are teens, but they’re still quite vulnerable, still quite young. Some are, you know, very young—eight years old, for example. And in Dallas, we were faced with all these migrant teens in downtown Dallas, in our convention center, when an emergency pop-up housing site was placed, I believe, in April. And as many as 2,200 migrant children were placed there. And it didn’t have the same licensing that the normal shelters have in the state of Texas and around the nation. And so there wasn’t the same kind of scrutiny for health and safety procedures. And we started hearing a lot of bad things about children being clustered in one big room, and the children being depressed, and crying, and complaints about the food. And it proceeded to get a little bit better, and then it went on to decline. And recreational activity was minimal during some periods of their time in Dallas. Eventually— ROBBINS: And— SOLIS: Oh, sorry. ROBBINS: So overall it means—yesterday they announced that they were returning to a policy of expedited removal. Which means that asylum officers can interview families in a fast-track screening process to determine if they have, what, a credible fear of persecution. Is this an act of desperation call on their part? And should we just have more faith that the Biden administration is going to deal with this in a responsible way? You certainly don’t want to have people hanging around indefinitely, and one of the complaints about the asylum process more generally under the Trump administration is that it took—for the people who did get in, it took forever. And for the people who were waiting, they couldn’t even get their number called. But, you know, the complaints for the people who did get called up is that basically they, you know, walked in, and somebody, you know, banged out a gavel, and they were out again. You know, desperation on their part, political pressure? Or is there a sign that this might be done in a more responsible way? ANGELO: Yeah, I mean, I think that in terms of determining credible fear, the burden of proof is actually quite light. And so for families that don’t necessarily meet what is a fairly minimal threshold, I think that this is a policy that necessarily incents. I also think that the Biden administration is attempting to move in the direction of in-country refugee processing, so as to prevent people from trying to make the dangerous journey across Central America, across Mexico—where they can fall into the hands of traffickers. The idea would be to process these individuals in places in Central America—Costa Rica, for instance. And we’ve already seen, from the very earliest days of the Biden administration, reactivation of something known as the Central American Minors Program, which allows children who have family members in the United States, and who themselves are vulnerable to things like gang recruitment or who are victims of violence or repression, to apply for refugee status in their countries of origin. And so I think that that—I mean, it’s a proof of concept for where the Biden administration might like to take asylum refugee policy in the future. I would also note that on the issue of children—I don’t know if this needs to be said, but I think just to make sure that we’re all clear—something that the Biden administration was emphatic in doing in differentiating itself from the Trump administration is that it stopped separating children from their parents and guardians at the door. And in fact, it facilitated the reunification of those children who were previously under the Trump administration separated from their parents and guardians at the border. But more broadly speaking, when we—when we look at some changes that are taking place to immigration policy during the Biden administration, we saw that under intense public pressure the Biden administration quadrupled the refugee cap to 62,000—62,500, excuse me. We also saw that the Biden administration sought to demarcate a difference between itself and the Trump administration by revoking the travel and immigration limits that had been imposed on thirteen countries, many of which were Muslim-majority countries from Africa. The Biden administration has also extended temporary protective status to vulnerable populations like Haitians, Venezuelans, Burmese, Yemenis. And more—I think also symbolically, but also practically, the Biden administration has halted the construction of the border wall. And just in the past couple of weeks we’ve seen House—the House appropriations bill for fiscal year 2022 providing zero funding for that border wall, and instead focusing on nonintrusive image technology for ports of entry as a way of curbing illegal activities along the border. And so I think, you know, for as much as we’ve seen some continuity, there have been significant changes that have taken place. But, again, as Dianne said, I think the Biden administration is just waiting to see what’s going to happen with this Delta variant before it takes any rash decisions about, you know, what its policies specifically at the border are going to look like. ROBBINS: So, Dianne, there has been major personnel changes. You know, the sort of chaos at DHS and all these people who never got confirmed and people who were pretty strong ideologues when it came to migration. And Trump got a very strong endorsement from the unions, from the Customs and Border people, and felt that, you know, they really had his back. And there were very, very strong ideological statements there. Does it feel better on the ground from the people who are doing the enforcement? You know, is this—do you find, as a reporter, you have a better relationship with them? Do the people who are being stopped feel that they’re being treated better? Has the word drifted down from Washington that we want to have a kinder and gentler face? Or is it basically the same? SOLIS: I think there is a change on the ground. I go most frequently to the Rio Grande Valley. And in the relationship with CBP I think for the press, from my view, is much improved. But having said that, on the ground—physically on Highway 83, which goes east to west through the Rio Grande Valley, there’s so many—so much law enforcement now, from Texas Public Safety, to constables, and to of course the Border Patrol, and others. And it seems a little chaotic. And regular folk don’t like it. You know, they feel very over-surveilled. So that’s different. And depending on your point of view, different in not a good way. Maybe if you’re a rancher, and it’s your property that’s being litter nightly, maybe you’re more unhappy. But if you’re a regular citizen, I don’t think you’re happy with all this surveillance. ROBBINS: And there is—what’s the—what’s relationship between—you know, Abbott called on people to come from around the country to go and reinforce the border to make up for, you know, what is allegedly being pulled back by the Biden administration. Are there tensions between these different—you know, between the Feds versus the locals? Or is that—are they being deconflicted? Or is there not all that much happening as what Biden claims is happening? Is it all hat and no cattle, as we hear people from the east think you people in Texas say? (Laughs.) SOLIS: You know, it’s a great question. And it’s one that I’d like to explore in my next trip down there, what is it really like with this handful of states that are sending people to the border? I don’t know. I don’t know the question. I don’t—I know the question, but I don’t know the answer yet. I think it’s an important one. But now— ROBBINS: I mean, it seems like a potential for, you know, conflict, particularly if you’re sending National Guard people, people who are less—you know, who are less than full-time, you know, disciplined soldiers. It potentially to me seems a little scary. SOLIS: There is an important legal conflict. Federal immigration law is the purview of the Border Patrol. They’re the ones in charge of apprehending people. So one wonders, well, what does a constable do then? You know, do they hold people? And how long do they hold people? And when does that become not just holding somebody but a full apprehension? And these are legal questions that I think need to be addressed, and probably will be addressed in the future, maybe in the courts. ROBBINS: So that’s one sort of area of coverage that I—as a consumer of news—I would love to read more about. And I think that’s one of the things we always try to do in these meetings is start thinking about stories that we could be doing. Paul, as a consumer of news, what do you want—you know, we’ve got a lot of good journalists on this call. What do you want to be reading from people who have the opportunity to do what you and I can’t do, which is to get out of the major metropols right now? ANGELO: Yeah. You know, something—a story that I think would be really fascinating, I think we’re starting to see some hints of this percolate in the news—is because normally we see a reduction in migration during the hot months of June, July, August, and this year we’re seeing the opposite. The migration levels are increasing or stabilizing. You know, and already taking into account that this has been among the most lethal years in the past thirty years for migration to the United States. I would love to see more coverage of people who are taking very significant risks—I mean, they risk drowning, heat exposure, dehydration, animal attacks, and whatnot. And profiling individuals who may have deceased on their journey to the United States, knowing that the deadliest months of the year have not been accounted for yet in this fiscal year. Something else that I think, you know, bears some exploration is the increasing trend of asylum applicants preferring to file their asylum applications in Mexico instead of in the United States. Mexico is no longer being seen as a transit country for migrants, but also a destination. And we’re particularly seeing this for populations like Haitians and Cubans. And so Mexico’s highest year historically for asylum applications was 2019, when it received some 30,000 asylum applications. But this year it has already received 51,000. And so I think that those are—those are stories that could really use some more texture, and we would benefit from some personal profiles of individuals who are affected by these trends. ROBBINS: So I want to throw it open to the group but, Dianna, I want to ask a question about that. Which is, is that a success of the Trump administration? That, you know, he kept saying, you know, why aren’t these people going to Mexico? I’m going to cut a deal with the Mexicans. They stay there, maybe they want to end up staying there. I mean, you see that on the one hand. At the same time, we’re also seeing certain states in Mexico that aren’t letting—aren’t letting people be pushed back. They’re just saying, no, forget it. You know, I think Tamaulipas is. I mean, there are certain states that just saying: Forget it. We’re not taking you. So, you know, where are the Mexicans in this? What role do they play in it? And how much did the bullying from the Trump administration help or hurt, versus what the Biden administration is doing? SOLIS: Help or hurt whom? ROBBINS: Good question. (Laughs.) Very good, my dear. Please jump in anywhere. (Laughs.)  SOLIS: (Laughs.) OK. So there’s the relationship—the huge financial relationship between the U.S. and Mexico. And my dear colleague Alfredo Corchado just had a series of interviews in Mexico City at the Foreign Relations Ministry. And it seems like they’re working well with the Biden administration, and some of the Biden administration policy is really, frankly, the same as the Trump administration. And you raise a really good point about asylum applications in Mexico increasing. It reminds me a bit—going way, way, way back, I think, to the ’70s or ’80s—when there were a lot of Central Americans who came to Chiapas and had—there were huge camps there. And some of them must have settled out in the area, or else they were there for a time. And there are parts of Mexico that are really beautiful and are relatively safe. Granted, there is the other half of the nation—the other half of the states, where our U.S. State Department has travel warnings out. A very dangerous state is Tamaulipas, which is in the highest category for danger for our U.S. State Department, and where migrants cross the most. It’s the quickest route. I also think that the smugglers have something to do with that too. They push people through there—through that migratory route into the Rio Grande Valley. ROBBINS: So we want to, you know, throw this open to the group. You guys must have questions or, you know, give us some insight into the challenges you’re facing, stories that you’re trying to do, interested in doing. So please raise your hand or write it into us, into the Q&A. Because if not, I’ll just keep going. Or I’ll call on you. I have enough of a professor in me that I—(laughs)—started off calling on people. But while you compose your questions, I’m going to ask another one. Which is, you know, immigration policy is a lot like climate change, in the sense of nothing can get fixed easily or quickly. These are generational challenges. And at the same time, the suffering is immediate. And so you know, to deal with the push factors—you know, Vice President Harris charged with the notion of going down to El Salvador and Honduras and saying, you know, we’re going to try to help fix your problems so so many people don’t want to leave. I mean, it’s the right impulse. It absolutely should be. I mean, you talked in the beginning about the push factors there. Do they have an idea? The Obama administration had an idea for Central America. They allegedly invested a bunch of money in Central America. I mean, do you have a sense that they have an idea that, A, will try to deal with some of the, you know, backsliding democratically with all the terrible economic troubles that are going on there, to make up for the—speaking of, the economic devastation that happened from the weather, which is only going to continue? And do any of these things going to have any impact at all on migration in the near term? So, Paul, I’ll start with you and then, Dianne—Dianne’s looking very skeptical. (Laughs.) ANGELO: I’d love to. (Laughs.) So I will say that when I was an international affairs fellow with CFR I was on sort of the implementing end of the Obama administration’s Central America strategy, which was being shepherded by then-Vice President Joe Biden. And so President Biden has a real intimate knowledge of the challenges that are faced, particularly in the Northern Triangle region. And I think that the Biden administration’s initial instincts are to go back to what we know works. I will remind everyone that in 2019 the Trump administration froze all of the assistance—the development and security assistance that was being administered to the Northern Triangle countries, some of which had been approved during the last year of the Obama administration. And a lot of that assistance was to fund programs that were ongoing. And one of those programs is the program that I worked on, known as the place-based strategy. And it was a citizen security crime and violence prevention strategy that was being implemented in the homicidal neighborhoods of the biggest cities in the Northern Triangle countries. And two of the neighborhoods where I was working, we saw reductions of homicide in just over two years by over 60 percent. It’s a model that works, but it’s a model that also requires that you continue to build on the momentum in a geographic sense. And when the Trump administration pulled the rug out from underneath that program, when the Trump administration froze U.S. assistance to the region, a lot of that momentum was lost. I think some of the things that the Biden administration will do differently, I think there’s an increasing sense that climate change is to blame for a lot of the migrant flows that we’re seeing in the past decade—things like coffee rust or black sigatoka, which ravaged banana and plantain crops, you had bark-eating beetles which, in Honduras, affected the timber industry. All of these things put people who work in the agricultural space out work. And many of them ended up moving into cities where they found that their skills were not valued, where they could not find meaningful work, and where they were probably at greater risk of violence or crime being committed against them. And it was at that point that many of them would then decide to emigrate northward. And so to the extent that the Biden administration will seek to build climate resilience as part of its broader strategy to help combat climate change globally, I think that this will be a valuable pillar that Vice President Harris will structure as part of her engagement with the countries of the Northern Triangle. Likewise, something that we’re seeing differently this time around, as opposed to what we saw in—during the Obama administration. As I mentioned initially, the Obama administration benefitted from the fact that many of civil societies and democratic institutions in the countries of the Northern Triangle were engaged in an anti-corruption crusade. Well, that’s no longer the case. And so now the Biden administration has decided that it’s going to condition the dispersal of U.S. assistance to the countries of the Northern Triangle on anti-corruption progress. Still not very clear how that’s going to work in practice, but to the extent that the United States cannot partner with public officials or institutions in the countries in question, then it has decided that those resources really ought to be divided amongst civil society—things like universities, NGOs, journalists, whatnot. You know, in many ways to serve as the kind of anti-corruption watchdogs that the region absolutely needs. ROBBINS: That worked well in Haiti. You can see all the capacity building that happened for thirty years of not dealing with the government—or, fifty years of not dealing with the government. But OK. (Laughs.) So we’ll go—we need to go back to this. It’s, as Dianne said, a very tough question. It needs to be dealt with. And there’s a question here, Alex Nussbaum was asking: For those of us not at the border much of the debate still centers on ICE and the treatment/deportation of detainees. Can you talk about how that agency is changing, or not changing, under Biden? And, Alex, before Dianne jumps into that, you’re in New Jersey. I mean, is ICE—it’s a huge issue in local communities in New Jersey. And has that gone down? I’m going to ask Alex a question first. Has that declined since the—since the Biden administration came in, or is it still a fierce political issue? Q: It is—thank you for letting me take part in this. It is definitely an issue for immigration activists here in New Jersey. I think what we found is that during the pandemic a lot of the numbers of detainees actually went down quite a bit in this area, as ICE and the local jails they work with tried to reduce the population because of COVID. And a number of the local jails that worked with ICE have been convinced to say they’re going to end their relationships at some point soon. But there is still a lot of pressure from activists to free or stop transferring those detainees out of the area. And it’s a major political issue up here, even though in absolute numbers the number of detainees may have actually been going down—at least, you know, around here. ROBBINS: Great. Thanks. So, Dianne. Is it different? SOLIS: The thing that’s quite different is that the number of detained migrants has gone down. It’s less than half what it was. And a lot of that is because of the pandemic. But to me, it raised the question: Do you really need to detain all those people for a civil offense? And I think therein is a legitimate story that needs to be explored by journalists. ICE has a huge budget for enforcement and for detentions specifically. And there are these agreements with jail-like facilities around the nation that, to some extent, put money in the coffers of municipalities. And we should ask as a nation, do we really need it? I was going to say we should ask as a nation, post-pandemic, if we really need it. And I caught myself from saying that—unfortunately, very unfortunately. But, you know, we are incarcerating about half the amount of people we incarcerated previously. ROBBINS: Is there—is there a sort of prison industrial complex in immigration the way there is just more generally in prisons in the United States? I mean, how much of these ICE detention centers and how much—including the new centers that are being built by the Biden administration to deal with—that aren’t centers, but they’re for housing children and all—how much of these are being built by private contractors who have an interest in keeping people in them because—and then they have an interest in paying off politicians because it becomes what people refer to as the prison industrial complex? I mean, is that the same thing in the world of immigration? SOLIS: Absolutely it’s the same thing in the world of immigration. And we saw it as well in all these emergency influx sites. That’s the government’s word—emergency influx sites and in the contracting of private industry to run these places, and then get subcontracts. And many of them didn’t have much experience in dealing with children. ROBBINS: And so do you have the same—I mean, you say that it’s easier to deal with Border Patrol now. Do you find that you’re also having better relations with ICE? And are they more willing to deal with the press than they were in the Trump administration? SOLIS: I’ve been at this a while. (Laughs.) I mean, so I have relationships with different people within ICE. And I had it during the Obama years, and the Trump years, and they continue today. And I guess, given the depth of that relationship, things are as they were before. I know that they’ve—some of them feel whiplashed by the changes. ROBBINS: So if I were a reporter, which I am, but if I were a reporter covering this beat, and I worked in Washington but I needed to get out on the ground and reality test, which is always very good thing, where should I go and what should I see? Because there’s always this huge gap between what people in Washington think the policy is versus what the reality is. So I’m going to start with Dianne, and ask her what they should see on the border, and what you think the best places are to go to understand what the policy is now. And then I’m going to go to Paul to ask where they should go in the region to understand what the push factors are. SOLIS: OK, the best place to go on the border would be the Rio Grande Valley, I think, and then perhaps El Paso-Juárez. You really get a sense of the challenges when you’re there. And it’s relatively easy to talk to people on the Texas side. And if you’re willing to take the risk of going across into Reynosa or Matamoros, you know, you can—you can do so. And you’ll really get an eyeful and an earful of the dangers that people go through, their desperation. I think if you go to El Paso-Juárez, you’re going to see more of the shades of gray. And when I think of underreported stories, one of the topic areas is shades of gray topics. And I wonder, you know, if every single border crosser is really an asylum seeker with a credible fear of persecution. And how many of them are just Mexicans who need to provide for their families, or want to provide more amply for their families? And therefore, that becomes a prism from which we can look at the need for work visas, so that people can come across with greater ease. Or the need to open up the legal immigration system to people like that. And we have a lot of labor shortages, or skills mismatch going on all around the country right now. And one way to look at that might be through the prism of a visit to El Paso-Juárez. And if you look at the data that comes from the Border Patrol, you’ll see that the largest number are single adult males, many of them from Mexico. And through that, again, you can look at, well, is this a really, truly an asylum seeker, or is this just a guy who wants to provide for his wife and two kids back in Guanajuato, back in central Mexico. ROBBINS: So when you said the dangers of going to, would you say, Reynosa, you mean the dangers of getting mugged, is that what you mean, the dangers of getting kidnapped? You’re talking about crime. SOLIS: I’m talking about crime. ROBBINS: Yeah. So—OK, so I’m a reporter based in Washington, or based in Philadelphia, or based somewhere. And God bless my editor, says, OK, you’re right. I’m going to send you out there. You’ve been such a pain. You’re always telling me to send you on the ground. I’m going to send you out there. Go do a story on both sides of the border. And you have some Spanish. And how do you mitigate those risks? Who do you hire to help you as your guide? How do you do it on the ground, if you’re basically going in? But you got a week—you got a week to do it. That’s a, you know, reasonable amount of time. How do you find the people to make it safer, but so that you also don’t just end up interviewing cab drivers? SOLIS: Right. You need to talk to people who go across regularly, to the NGOs that go to help people—either to feed people, to clothe people, to provide some legal help. You have to assess what geographic area you’re willing to go into. Are you going to stay very close to the bridge, where there is a fairly large encampment now of migrants in Reynosa, or are you going to go further in to one of the bigger shelters? And you have to know—you have to talk to people and know that if you decide to go to the big one, Senda de la Vida, that, you know, it’s right by the river, it’s not in the greatest place. It may look like it is on the map, but it’s not. And you go with somebody who knows that geography. And you have to watch what cab driver you hire. And you’ve got to be talking to people who go regularly to find out who that cab driver is that you’re going to hire, and why they believe that they’re OK, why they’re not working with organized crime. ROBBINS: And, Paul, so I want to go to Central America. And I want to see what organizations or government officials are worth investing billions of dollars into, OK? Skeptical, you know, my member of Congress has to vote on this aid, OK? And so before the vote, my editor wants me to go down there and ask the question. If you want to give them the good and you want to show them a place that really we could build a partnership with, are there any governments in Central American right now, or local state, you know, provincial leaders, or, you know, mayors? Is there any place where you—where someone could say, OK, well, here’s something you could build on? ANGELO: Sure. I think there are, you know, individuals or institutions with which the U.S. government has a long relationship in Central America that—you know, that still serve as a glimmer of hope for the region. I would point to the FECI, which is the special attorney general’s office for anti-corruption crimes in Guatemala. Unfortunately, one of the principal prosecutors was just forced out of the office this week by the country’s attorney general. But nonetheless, there are U.S.-trained individuals, prosecutors, investigators in that division that worked previously with the CICIG, which is the U.N.-backed anti-corruption commission in Guatemala, I think would be a very good place to start and a story that’s worth telling, because it’s something that’s worth salvaging. But I also think that there are stories to be told from places like the dry corridor, which is a tract of territory that spans across—starting in Costa Rica and all the way up into southern Mexico. Some of the most unproductive land in Central America, but not coincidentally it’s the place where many of the region’s campesinos, over centuries of land concentration in the hands of a very few, have been pushed and have been pushed into subsistence existence. And now that we’re seeing less—you know, 40 percent less annual average rainfall than were even two decades ago, we’re seeing a region that’s been battered by hurricanes year after year, you know, I think it’s worth capturing those stories and telling the story of climate migration. I would also say that it’s worth going to the Guatemala-Mexico border for—you know, this has been a flashpoint—geographic flashpoint over much of the past decade. You know, the Obama administration worked with the Peña Nieto administration in Mexico to implement something known as the southern border strategy, which sought to curb the flow of migrants across the Guatemala-Mexico border. The Trump administration engaged in the same—pushed the AMLO government to do the same, and to militarize the southern border. And inevitably, if the United States seeks to control the flow of migrants to its own border, it’s going to have to help Mexico get a handle on its own southern border. And so, you know, I think that going to the Usumacinta River, which is where a lot of the river crossings happen for migrants, is a good place to go and get stories and, you know, a place as well that you’ll be able to capture not just the dynamic as it pertains to the migrants, but also the other illicit economies that tend to exist in these borderlands, which I think are, you know, certainly worth documenting and reporting on. ROBBINS: So I’m going to throw a question out to the participants. And I hope that we’ll get more people to jump in here. So how big a deal is migration in your local communities? How much pressure is there? I mean, if you look at the polling data, consistently President Biden has incredibly stable approval numbers and, you know, pretty good numbers even now on handling the economy, handling of—handling of COVID. One thing that he consistently gets negative numbers on is handling of the border and migration issues. So as I always like to say to people, to my students who study polling, I always say to them: Don’t look at the poll—look at the straight numbers on the polls. Look at the salience issue, which is it’s not just what people feel, it’s whether or not they’re going to vote on it, you know, are they willing to spend money on it, are they willing to vote on it? How important is it to them? So how salient is this issue in your local community? If you live—as Dianne said—if you live near the border and you’re a rancher, obviously it’s a salient issue. So you guys showed up for today. How salient is this in your communities? Alex talked about immigration activists. And we certainly know this was a huge issue when the ICE detention facilities were overflowing. But I’m just wondering how salient this is and how much this—potentially this issue will have an impact on the midterm elections if Biden can’t get this under control? So we have a chance to actually do a little bit of polling for local reporters. So come on, you guys. I want somebody to jump in here. I’m pleading with you because I want to know the answer, too. So while you formulate your answers, Dianne, obviously, in Texas this is, you know, a hugely big deal, but maybe not as straightforward an issue as everybody thinks, as everybody caricatures. I mean, Abbott is taking his positions but, you know, what’s the politics of it right now inside the state? SOLIS: We just did a poll on that. And it showed it was a huge issue—immigration was a huge issue. But if you delved into the data, it showed that it was very different depending on whether you were a non-Hispanic white or Hispanic. And we saw a divide, and quite a distinct divide. And I would imagine that it’s like that in other places, but it’s very important to look at that in a state like Texas or California, where Hispanics do vote and are a large voting bloc. And— ROBBINS: Although, we’ve seen intolerance among—or, shall we say—refer to it as the lifeboat syndrome, but there is a certain lifeboat syndrome quality to it—from certain Hispanic voting blocs of, you know, certainly, you know, anti-open borders and—you know, Trump did get a reasonable amount of votes from Hispanics. I mean, voting maybe on immigration, certainly on more conservative cultural values. You know, so that maybe becomes a salience issue. But some of the people who analyzed it thought it also had to do with immigration. Do you think that’s not right? SOLIS: I think that that’s correct for certain regions of Texas. For the border, I think that is true that a large number of folks voted for Republicans, voted for Trump. And I wrote about that. And in tight elections, that little sway matters. It matters a lot. But when you compared the Rio Grande Valley, the four counties that people generally talk about of the Rio Grande Valley, to a place like Dallas, you know, it was much different—you know, much more likely to vote for the Biden-Harris ticket in Dallas, compared to Hidalgo County, which holds the largest population. It’s where McAllen is. ANGELO: And, Carla, I would just say, in terms of the Trump candidacy’s appeal to Latino voters, you know, a lot of that—you know, in terms of the slight uptick that we saw in terms of his approval and his popularity among Latino voters happened in Florida. And this issues in Florida are very, very distinct from the debate that we’re having about immigration. I mean, there it really was a misinformation campaign that was targeting the Biden campaign with the baseless accusation that Biden was a socialist and was going to turn the United States into a socialist country. And it was toying with the trauma of people who had fled socialism from places like Cuba, Florida—excuse me—Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela to Florida that really tipped the election in favor of Trump’s candidacy. And so I would say that, you know, it’s really sort of difficult to generalize about Latin voting across the nation because—(inaudible)—vote differently. ROBBINS: It’s not a generalized bloc. ANGELO: But I would say, on the issue of how salient this issue nationwide, I mean, we saw a poll in June that was conducted by Reuters that only 10 percent of Americans ranked immigration as a top priority, which was down 5 percent from where it was in April. And we even saw that number plummet against people who identify as Republicans from 29 percent to 19 percent. So, you know, it seems to be that in the United States, as immigration or the border crisis has dropped out of the news, people appear to be caring less about immigration than they did in the early months of the spring. ROBBINS: I think it’s interesting. I mean, is this a crisis? And that raises a really interesting question for us as reporters about how we—the language that we use when we write these things. I mean, what makes something a crisis? Is it a crisis because it’s defined by politicians as a crisis? Is it a crisis because it is a crisis for the individuals who are experiencing it? You know, we have a very large country. We can certainly absorb lots of people. So what made this a crisis, other than the political definition of a crisis? And you’re right, dropped out of the news, or certainly gone—you know, become—it’s certainly less frontpage news itself. And it would be interesting to track to see, you know, the language versus the polling data on that, which I think that is—which is why I sort of threw the question out about the salience issue. And Republicans do not seem to be pushing this with the same enthusiasm. At the same time, we don’t hear—I mean, after the ruling on DACA, which was, what, late last week, you didn’t, unless I missed it, was the White House out there really pushing back? You know, we’re going to make this—we’re going to get this legislation through, we’re going to—we’re going to champion it? I mean, they don’t seem to be, you know, pushing this in a—they seem to, I think, maybe—shall I be cynical about it? If nobody’s talking about it, they were happy to not talk about it. Do you get that impression as well? That’s certainly my impression. Dianne. SOLIS: I doubt—they reacted the next day. It came out on a Friday. ROBBINS: They did? SOLIS: On Saturday they reacted, yeah. And they said they plan to appeal. MALDEF, the Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund, also I think will appeal. And I think we’ll be hearing about that soon. And I think there is a shift in news focus right now on the immigration beat to a reconciliation measure that might provide legalization for so-called DREAMers and other categories. It depends on who’s pushing how big this will be—whether it will be only two million people, or whether it will be as large as five million. And yesterday we saw more than eighty mayors say that they back this effort. ROBBINS: So Cindy Carcamo from the L.A. Times has precisely this question: Can you talk about DACA and what you think will need for some sort of DREAMer legislation to pass? It seems like CIR is dead. OK, now you’ve so beyond my level of competence I don’t even know what that is, but I’m sure that Dianne or Paul will explain it. But what about something just or DACA recipients? Oh, comprehensive immigration reform. I got it. Yay. OK. I did understand. So thank you, Cindy. I did get it before you said it. (Laughs.) Thank God. So can you guys both in the remaining few minutes we have, give us a little bit more of a deep dive into the possibilities of DACA and broader immigration reform? SOLIS: Well, I think the reason that what’s happening this week with this reconciliation effort in this particular bill is so interesting is it is a smaller group. And I think that it is going to be very hard to see something that will cover more people. There are eleven million people who are undocumented in the U.S.—roughly eleven million. And I think it’s doubtful that what you’re going to see, you know, is something for ten million of them, and much more likely that we’re going to see something small. Whether it would be DACA-specific, I don’t know because—I kind of doubt it, because the DREAMer movement themselves has leadership that doesn’t support something that is for them alone. They want more people on board. ANGELO: Yeah, I would—I would agree with Dianne on this. I mean, the Biden administration, you know, out of the blocs prevented a comprehensive immigration reform bill to Congress that would provide a pathway to citizenship for the approximately eleven million undocumented immigrants in the United States. And, you know, that’s a pipedream, frankly. Depending on the poll, anywhere between 57 and 69 percent of Americans support the measure, but there doesn’t appear to be that kind of support in either chamber of Congress for comprehensive reform. So I think that, you know, the House is leading the way by considering smaller bills related to assistance for dreamers or, you know, more quotas for agricultural workers, temporary agriculture workers, to come into the United States and work for a time. And sort of this piecemeal approach is, like, the most feasible way of getting essential relief as quickly as possible. I would note that any kind of legislation that’s going to pass through Congress is going to have to see border security initiatives baked into the text. And that will be a common theme for anything related to immigration reform that we see coming out of Capitol Hill. ROBBINS: And who are the wizards to pull this off, the people to watch on the Hill? I mean, is this a—is this a priority for Pelosi, or is this just going to be pushed by the White House? ANGELO: I mean, I think the White House is going to have to assume the protagonism in this. You know, I think the space for consensus on Capitol Hill right now is so limited that it’s going to require sort of the bipartisan spirit that Joe Biden brought to the ticket, and what made him an appeal or attractive moderate candidate to many voters, to get something like this taken care of by—on Capitol Hill. SOLIS: And I’d like to add, because of that I think you need to watch for policy changes within the White House, and whether or not they come up with a new version of DACA. And it’s also very significant I think to look at something called TPS, which stands for temporary protective status. And it covers folks who already are in the U.S. and got here because of some national disaster or some great civil unrest. Under the Biden administration, he’s quietly increased the countries that have that kind of protection. It doesn’t put them on a pathway to citizenship, just like DACA doesn’t put them on a pathway to citizenship. It puts them in kind of a limbo, but it’s something. ROBBINS: Yeah, it’s a—it is this weird half position, you know, which means that we’re all going to be waiting for some great amnesty somewhere down the road, when sanity returns to Washington. This has been a great conversation. Thank you, Irina, for bringing us together. Thank you, Dianne, so great to see you again. Thank you, Paul. Thank you, Alex. Thank you, Cindy. And thank you everybody else. And I’m going turn it back to Irina. FASKIANOS: I echo your thanks, and just want to encourage you all to follow our speakers on Twitter. Carla, @robbinscarla; Paul, @paul_ange; and Dianne, @disolis. And of course, please visit CFR.org, ThinkGlobalHealth.org, and ForeignAffairs.com for the latest developments and analysis on international trends and events and how they’re affecting the United States. And as always, we encourage you to send us your suggestions for future webinars. Email us at [email protected]. And I hope everybody says cool and safe and well. So thank you all again. (END)
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  • Immigration and Migration
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    Theresa Cardinal Brown, director of immigration and cross-border policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center, discusses the status of immigration and border policy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Julián Aguilar, immigration and border security reporter at the Texas Tribune, discusses best practices for reporting on this topic. Carla Anne Robbins, adjunct senior fellow at CFR and former deputy editorial page editor at the New York Times, hosts the webinar. FASKIANOS: Thanks, Maureen. And good afternoon, and good morning to those of you on the West Coast. Welcome to the Council on Foreign Relations Local Journalist Webinar. Today we are going to be talking about immigration, border policy, and best practices for reporting on these subjects with our speakers, Theresa Cardinal Brown and Julián Aguilar, and host Carla Anne Robbins. I’m Irina Faskianos, vice president of the National Program and Outreach here at CFR. As you know, CFR is an independent and nonpartisan organization and think tank focusing on U.S. foreign policy. This webinar is part of CFR’s Local Journalists Initiative, created to help you connect the local issues you cover in your communities to global dynamics. We have everything from CFR resources and expertise on international issues, and we are providing a forum for sharing best practices. This is very much a challenging time in our country, as we’ve seen over the past week, and few months. We thank you for taking the time to join us today. The webinar is on the record and the video and transcript will be posted on our website after the fact at CFR.org/localjournalists. We’ve shared the full bios of our speakers and host prior to the call, so I’m just going to spotlight a few things. Theresa Cardinal Brown is director of immigration and cross-border policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center. She previously led her own consulting firm, Cardinal North Strategies. She was a director of immigration and border policy at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and has held roles with the American Immigration Lawyers Association and immigration law practices in Washington, DC. Julián Aguilar reports on politics and border affairs with the Texas Tribune, a member-supported, digital-first, nonpartisan newsroom. His reporting focuses on immigration reform and enforcement, voter ID, international trade, border security, and the drug trade, as well as politics in Texas and Mexico. He has written and reported for numerous outlets in Texas, including the Fort Worth Weekly, the Laredo Morning Times, and Rio Grande Guardian. And finally, Carla Anne Robbins is an adjunct senior fellow at CFR. She is faculty director of the Master of International Affairs Program and clinical professor of national security studies at Baruch College’s Marxe School of Public and International Affairs. Previously, she was deputy editorial page editor at the New York Times and chief diplomatic correspondent at the Wall Street Journal. So welcome to you both, Theresa and Julián. Thank you very much for being with us today. And, Carla, I’m going to turn it over to you to have a discussion, and then we will open it up to the group for questions and comments. ROBBINS: Thank you so much, Irina. Thank you, Julián and Theresa, and thank you to all the journalists who are with us here today. We know you have an incredibly challenging job right now and it’s an incredibly challenging time for journalism, for local journalism. So thank you, again. And please be safe, everybody, out there, even as you go out there and report the news. So let’s—Theresa, I want to start with you, with a little scene setting about it. The administration, if I’m right, sent more than sixty thousand asylum seekers back to Mexico last year under the so-called Migrant Protection Protocols. And then the coronavirus hit. And they’re making it absolutely impossible for—as far as I can tell—for anybody to get in. According to a May 23 Washington Post story, at that point, since March 21, the Trump administration had expelled more than twenty thousand unauthorized border crossers. And at that point, just two people seeking humanitarian protection at the southern border were allowed to stay. What’s going on? BROWN: So as you mentioned, I mean, for, I’d say, almost all of the first three to three and a half years of this administration there’s been a lot of focus on addressing migration at the U.S.-Mexico border. And starting with trying to address domestic law and policies relating to asylum seekers and finding ways to detain more and more people through the use of family separation policies, and zero tolerance policy, and prosecution in 2018 and then slowly shifting toward a policy or set of policies of pushing responsibility for dealing with the asylum seekers to other countries. So starting with the Migrant Protection Protocols, or remain in Mexico with Mexico, where people would be forced to wait in Mexico while their cases were processing in the United States, through the asylum cooperation agreements with El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras, of which the Guatemalan agreement is the one that has been in place the longest, and actually functional. Then with the advance of COVID, they found another tool in the toolbox to essentially, you know, prevent people from entering the asylum system in the United States. And that is this CDC order under Title 42 of the U.S. code, which says that the surgeon general and the CDC director have the authority to deny entry to persons or property from places that they think have outbreaks of communicable disease. And using this legal tool, the administration has adopted the legal belief and argument that they can expel people from the United States without any immigration process. And I want to make that clear. This is not an immigration process. It is not a deportation, which means technically it has no deportation ramifications that a deportation would. So there’s no prevention of—no five-year bar, and other things like that. That’s not on the record. It is an expulsion. And it presents absolutely no immigration process or due process. And so we published on the Bipartisan Policy website, BipartisanPolicy.org—my colleague, Chris Ramon published a blog not too long ago that actually looked at the numbers under these various programs. And you have seen essentially these Title 42 expulsions replacing MPP and ACA because Guatemala has asked for no ACA returns since COVID started. And Title 42 is now the, I mean, pretty much only way that people are addressed as they arrive at the U.S.-Mexico border. As you noted, there are theoretically minor ways that individuals could make a claim for protection, but the data do not show that that is being used widespread at all. And it’s unclear, because we really do have a lot of information about how people are actually being processed through this program, because it happens so rapidly, what type of interviews or a process anybody is getting at all to even access that very, very tiny opportunity. ROBBINS: So before I go to Julián, I just want to ask you one other quick follow up here. So when they first announced this, and a lot of their other immigration policies have been protested by people for their cruelty, because they’re considered violations of international law, certainly violations of the way we’ve done everything else in an immigrant nation in the past. But this sort of made sense when you thought about it, at first, when you heard about it. I mean, why would you want to have all those people together in a small space, you know, under detention. There’s a virus that’s going on there. And they said it was going to be time limited. It was only going to be thirty days. That was their first announcement, as I recall. Do you have any sense, A, are they legally limited, do they have to renew this every thirty days? Or could this just go on forever this way? BROWN: They’ve actually renewed it somewhat indefinitely now. So you know, it’s based on the proclamation, it’s based on the order that CDC gives. And originally it was thirty days. And now it has been renewed indefinitely, or until further notice I think is the way that they put it. And I think, you know, there’s a couple of things. You’re right that every one of these policies has been opposed, protested, sued over. To date, I’m not aware that these Title 42 expulsions have had a lawsuit against them. And there’s a lot of potential reasons for that. Finding who has standing to sue in U.S. court on this—as I mentioned, people are being expelled fairly quickly, sometimes within a matter of hours after arrival at the border and sent back to their home countries in Central America. So who has the opportunity to, you know, register a compliant and file a lawsuit in those respects? So that may have inhibited the ability to litigation to be involved here so far. But there are a lot of legal scholars who are questioning whether or not—basically, what the administration is claiming is that Title 42, in this circumstance, supersedes immigration law. That it supersedes any other obligation we have any other section of law. And that would be the legal challenge probably that people would try to make. But, again, it’s not—it’s not as easy as just saying, hey, I think this is wrong, I’m going to file a lawsuit. You have to have someone who has standing sue. And that sometimes can be a challenge in immigration cases, especially for people outside the country. So what we believe and what we see is that the administration intends to continue using this authority until further notice. You know, it is based on the presence of a communicable disease in other countries. That is the argument in favor of it. And so theoretically if there was a change in COVID-19, or in Mexico, or Central America, or any of these other countries, that would be a ground to review and/or rescind that particular order. But as of right now, that’s not the case. And I would also say that it’s important also to understand, even though the argument is that this is about spread of communicable disease, nobody is tested for COVID before being expelled. There’s no actual on-the-ground does this individual have a risk, is this individual bringing in a risk. It is a blanket bar to entry to anyone coming from Mexico. But it’s also unique in that it doesn’t apply to people applying at ports of entry. So this is what makes it somewhat questionable from a legal perspective, is it’s applying literally only to people who arrive between ports of entry. And you know, whether or not the CDC would have authority to apply it in that narrow consequence—you would think if it really is about communicable disease coming from another country, it would apply to everybody no matter how they entered. But that’s not how it’s being applied. So, again, I think there are a lot of questions about the legal grounds, the implementation of it. But, you know, and Congress has said that they want to look into this and examine it. But Congress is hindered right now in its own doing of business by COVID, the way all the rest of us are, and their ability to hold oversight hearings, and make questions is challenged to. So, you know, this is—this is where we are right now, and people are being sent back in very large numbers. ROBBINS: All right. So Julián, you are in El Paso. AGUILAR: Yes, ma’am. ROBBINS: So what are you hearing about people who are being sent back, the impact on their lives, and what’s going on down there? And how are you covering this? AGUILAR: All excellent questions that would probably take at least, you know, at least two hours to take each one up individually. But just a snapshot. ROBBINS: Very short! AGUILAR: Right on. Exactly. First with the new policy, the Title 42 expulsion policy, and the sort of lack of protest, you know, the folks that are—I’m talking to organizations like the Border Network for Human Rights and other organizations like that, they would have been the first ones to do something. But at the same time that this was all going on the state of Texas was unclear about how it was going to enforce crowd policies, right? And then when you think about these demonstrations, you have a lot of folks that might not want to be asked about their status if they’re caught up in a large gathering, if the police decide to do it. And after Texas passed SB4, you know, that is a concern about local law enforcement then handing over the information to the federal agencies. Keep in mind we also have a looming DACA decision. So a lot of the DACA recipients would also like to take place in stuff like that but, you know, whether you’re going to put yourself out there at risk for a policy right now, especially when there’s conflicting policies at the state and local level on organizing, so I think that’s what kept everything at bay. But with respect to MPP, you know, the program rolled out in Ciudad Juarez-El Paso in late March of last year. And a couple colleagues of mine were in Ciudad Juarez in early April to try to make sense of it all. Now that we kind of have a grasp on how the situation was put into place and what the ramifications are, we’re seeing the COVID process sort of create a new sort of backlog, right? You had the metering, and you had the folks that were waiting already. But with the postponement of the immigration hearings—for example, one story that I think has been told, but maybe hasn’t gotten enough attention is under MPP—and please feel free to correct me if I’m wrong on this—but I was my understanding that under MPP women that were pregnant could request an exemption and ask to be excluded from the program. And even the government of Mexico initially said they would not—they were not going to take pregnant women back under MPP. And then that sort of evolved into late pregnancy, seven months or greater. But because there’s no court, these women have no opportunity to ask for this exception. So they’re backing up in Ciudad Juarez. I got a text earlier from a friend of mine, an attorney friend of mine that’s in Ciudad Juarez, saying that she just saw a pregnant woman selling arepas out there when, you know, theoretically if there was no COVID and there’s no postponement she would have been able to at least ask for permission to be excluded from the program. Granted, not everybody that asks gets that exemption. So we’re seeing different situations like that. You also had the situation of people being confused about when their court hearing was, even though CBP and DHS send out these releases saying, OK, well, if you have, you know, June 15 show up July 15, because these are all postponed. People weren’t getting word of that, or they weren’t trusting the government. They weren’t trusting the fact that they didn’t have to show up. You know, well, who’s to say that when they showed up in July because they took a directive to postpone their hearing that CBP or DHS or immigration judge, the EOIR wasn’t going to say, well, you absconded because you didn’t show up last month. You know, it’s, you know, sort of one person’s word against the federal government. And as we’ve seen, I don’t think a lot of these folks have reason to trust the government, you know, to this point. So you’re seeing a lot of folks that are still coming to the ports of entries. I’m here in El Paso-Ciudad Juarez, but I’ve heard it’s going on in Nuevo Laredo-Laredo, in Matamoros, you know, Tamaulipas, and other ports of entry. So when these folks have to travel, they have to spend money to travel. They can’t—they can’t practice social distancing, right, because they have to carpool, they have to travel. And then, you know, not to mention the fact that northern Mexico is still one of the most violent parts of the country. So these, I think, are the new stories that were emerging that still have to be told. But I say that with an asterisk, saying that, you know, it’s harder for—and I’m just speaking from the Tribune standpoint, because our newsroom policy has changed. I have to get permission to go out into the field. It has to be a pretty high standard that I have to meet, which I totally understand. You know, my editors don’t want to risk, you know, their staff getting sick, or being out there now, or getting other people sick, obviously. So those have been the biggest challenges, is identifying the new trends and stories, and then actually reporting on them. Of course, we always have our sources that we trust, you know, for information and being able to connect with—to get interviews over the phone with some of these asylum seekers. You really put a lot of faith in organizations like AILA, the National Immigration Justice Coalition, and organizations like that to sort of connect you, whereas before you could just go to the bridge yourself and seek out these folks. So there are hurdles. It’s still possible, but there are definitely some hurdles here. ROBBINS: So you have not been across the border since, when? AGUILAR: On a reporting trip I haven’t been to Juarez since March. ROBBINS: And what’s the standard that your editors are asking you to pass before they would let you go out there? AGUILAR: Well, I mean, the first one is the obvious one is, you know, whether or not it’s a story right, which would happen, you know, if COVID was not going on. You know, is this a daily, is this a long-term thing? You have situations like that. But it’s just, you know, having contact information, making sure that we have whatever protective gear that we can have, you know, checking in. And these aren’t that different from guidelines that I had to call before, more so because the violence. You know, check in before you go, check in before you come back. I just think the wildcard factor is what happens if we’re over there and CDC decides to shut down the bridge for several hours to all traffic? Which has happened before, you know, in short bursts, when they’re having a—you know, one of their drills where they shut down the bridge, and they throw their flashbang grenades, and, you know, kind of the show of force that we’ve seen. But in this situation, just like we were talking about the Title 42 expulsions, it seems like there’s a risk of being able to shut things down with no, you know, explanation given until later. And what does that do if we’re stuck there? I might have an advantage because I still know people in Ciudad Juarez from family connections, not from the professional side. So I might feel a little better. But to the editors in Austin, you know, there’s a checklist that you have to meet everything, and you have to really convince them. Another example, on Sunday night I covered the protest here in El Paso, the George Floyd protest. And the police station in the park is less than a mile away from my house, and I still had to meet all these, you know, definitions of safety and, you know, making sure that—you know, I wrote down one of my editor’s cellphone numbers on, you know, in ink on my leg just in case I got separated from my phone. So, I think there’s a lot of similarities in how we’re covering the border right now with how we’re covering the protests, and situations like this. ROBBINS: So I want to turn it over to the people on the phone with us. But I want to just quickly throw it back to Theresa and then back to you, Julián, very quickly. Which is, if you’re not on the border yourself, and you’re a reporter someplace else in the country, you still have lots of immigrants in your community. And they are very vulnerable people. And this is a pandemic that is—impacts and effects vulnerable people. And you add that with a reasonably cruel—yes, I was an editorial write, I’m allowed to say things like that—set of policies, what are the stories that need to be covered if you don’t live on the border? If you’re a reporter and you don’t live on the border, about how COVID and these changes in policies are affecting migrant communities? Theresa, do you want to pick that one up? BROWN: Sure. So I think there’s been, you know, looking just sort of big picture at immigration coverage by news outlets over the last four or five years, as I said, so much has focused on what has happened at the U.S.-Mexico border. And away from the border, so much of the attention has been on the undocumented immigrants. But I would say that there’s an interesting thing happening right now with COVID, and that is more people are starting to be aware of legal immigrants and their vulnerabilities. So for example, there are a lot of stories that I’m starting to see about not just DACA recipients, but legal visa holders who are on the frontlines medically. We have 25 percent of the doctors in this country are foreign born. An awful lot of them are in the queue trying to get their green card, but in the meantime they’re on temporary visas. And should one of them catch COVID and die while trying to treat everyone else, their family immediately become undocumented. And so this is adding extra strain to the work that they are doing. The shutdown of USCIS offices due to COVID means that people who are trying to keep their status and have to renew that status and/or go to an office—even legal green card holders who need to renew their green cards every ten years. I mean, their status remains, but they have to get a new—like, we get a new drivers’ license, they have to get a new green card. That’s all being held up. And so that puts even people who have legal status are feeling a lot of that pressure as well. And that is happening all around the country. So I think what we’re seeing is that COVID in many, many ways is pointing out many things about our modern America and the various systems we rely on, and how fragile they are. And that includes the immigration system. And so people, I think, are becoming somewhat more aware of just the challenges of the immigration system itself, even trying to maintain status. Obviously, those who are already undocumented are even more vulnerable. But you know, they have been left out of all of the relief bills. Even if they are married to an American citizen, they are ineligible. That whole household is then ineligible for the relief from the CARES Act. Business owners who may be using an ITIN to run their business can’t get the PPP loans. So students at schools are being kept away from the education relief money if they’re undocumented. So all of those vulnerabilities that already existed have been heightened. And there are lots of people in those communities who are very much struggling. And at the same time, they are the essential workers, right? They are the ones on the farms. They are the ones in the meatpacking plants. They are the ones in the grocery stores, and they are in the ones in the delivery places. And that is a very obvious dichotomy that I think is being made more aware to the rest of the country, that maybe, you know, people didn’t—weren’t quite as—weren’t quite as aware of before. ROBBINS: Thanks. Julián, do you want to give your colleagues some story ideas that are not necessarily border-related? AGUILAR: Well, you know, we just touched on quite a few of the ones that have already been written about, which are excellent points. You know, I’ve gotten reader emails, for example, the fewer people working means less money to send back to remittances, right? And I know remittances are controversial, but if you’re able to send money where people aren’t making it in their home country, that’s less of an incentive for them to migrate, right? So that’s one issue. And we and a lot of other publications wrote great stories about the CARES Act, and the fact that even if you’re a United States citizen who filed jointly last year, that U.S. citizen is excluded, U.S. citizen children are excluded. And I think that’s something that a lot of people weren’t aware of. And I think it does make some readers, you know, think twice about the frontline workers. And, again, you know, and I’m sorry I’m sort of repeating everything that was just said, but those were all great points. USCIS. You know, what happens in the Supreme Court rules something with DACA that gives time for people to renew, you know, before X date, right? Then there’s going to be a surge of applications at USCIS. And I’m just—I don’t have the exact figure, but I think I read some reports that USCIS was looking to diminish it—or to cut its staff, or had to cut its staff by 50-60 percent, right, because of some budgetary issues. BROWN: Yeah, they’re fee-funded and the applications are down. So they have—their income has dramatically dropped and they’re looking at layoffs. AGUILAR: And something that goes hand-in-hand with the protests that we’re seeing in the present day is the fact that, I guess because border agents on the border don’t have as much to do maybe because of these policies, then we’ve seen the last two days that they’re sending border agents into the interior. So how is that going to impact folks that re protesting? How’s that going to impact folks that might want to protest? And that, again, I allude to what I said here about the border, and SB4, and people being asked about their status. Especially when you don’t know what agency is which, right? I mean, I couldn’t tell two nights ago whether I was looking at a sheriff SWAT team, or border control SWAT, or CBP, and things like that. So as more border resources get sent into, you know, the interior, I think that’s also something to look at. I mean, you know, somebody asked me, it was like, well, are the CBP officers in Austin? You bet there are, because there’s an international airport there. You know, so they might pull those folks off and—you know, if you’re not familiar with how they interact with certain types of law enforcement officers, I think that’s one thing that people have to consider. But the big thing that I do go back to is the mixed-status families and just how this has been difficult for them as well, because of the CARES Act, because they are no longer to send back remittances, and because even though there are certain policies that you can’t, you know, evict somebody if they’re not able to pay their rent, I’m sure there’s still some concern that people aren’t going to speak up if they are being mistreated because of their status, or because they’re married to somebody that’s out of status, or they’re in status in limbo. BROWN: I just want to say one other thing about the legal immigrants who are in jeopardy. If you are here on a legal work visa and you’re laid off, you have to leave. But if your country isn’t accepting flights home, you’re stuck, and you become illegal. And that’s happening also. So, like, I think there’s a lot of—a lot of those kinds of just stories that can open people’s eyes to just the challenges of being an immigrant in America right now—from all angles. ROBBINS: So you said this has really shown the weaknesses of so much of the infrastructure of our society, and this is part of it. So with that thought, let’s open it up to questions, would be great. I think maybe we have some hands up. FASKIANOS: We do. Let’s go first to Reynaldo Leaños. And tell us which outlet you work for. Q: Hi, yeah. this is Reynaldo Leaños. I’m with Texas Public Radio. I’m based in the Rio Grande Valley. And, yeah, I mean, I wanted to just ask a question, you know, to whoever would want to take this—Julián or Theresa, or anyone else. But I was wondering, you know, do we have any, like, insight, you know, as to how it’s determined, you know, for migrants who are expelled whether they are flown back to their country of origin, whether they’re expelled into Mexico. You know, do we have any idea of, like, how those decisions are made, because I came across a family who is Honduran and crossed recently—well, not recently. Actually towards the end of March. And they were expelled into Mexico. But I was just wondering, you know, do we have an indication as to how these decisions are made? And just a quick second question, I think part of the CDC order it says that one of the goals is to keep people out of border patrol facilities because of, you know, conditions and overcrowding and stuff. But this family, you know, told me they were in custody for at least four or five days. And this was at the end of March. So I was wondering if you all have heard of any similar cases well, where people are actually, you know, instead of being processed in the field being detained as well? BROWN: So I can just speak from what I understand the national policy to be. And those who are on the border probably have a better sense of how it actually is happening in reality. Where somebody would be expelled to depends an awful lot on whether or not Mexico is willing to take them back and/or whether or not there are other reasons why they may want to go—they may choose to go back to their own countries. If they are being—if they are choosing to go back to Central America, that may take longer because they then have to figure out logistically how they get them back home. The country has to be willing to accept them. They have to acknowledge that they’re citizens. And frankly, the Central American countries have asked several times that deportations back to their countries be postponed because neither CBP nor ICE is actually testing people for COVID before they’re being deported. And that has caused breakouts of—I mean, I think it was Guatemala who said that half of one flight was COVID positive. So it’s actually spreading COVID down into those countries where they had lower rates. So all of those can be factors as to when and where somebody is removed. In terms of their custody, again, if they have to be flown—if they’re being flown back to their country of origin, that takes time to arrange. ICE is the entity in charge of removals that way, not CBP. And so they may be transferred to ICE custody for the period of time it can take ICE to arrange for one of their flights or a commercial flight. I don’t think they’re doing commercial flights at all anymore. It’s basically ICD flights. And they do wait until they have a certain number of people to go back, to make those flights. So that could result in people being in custody a little bit longer. ROBBINS: Thanks. Julián, you want to add to that? AGUILAR: Yeah, just to piggyback, there’s a group here in El Paso called the Anti-Deportation Squad. Journalist for the Intercept Debbie Nathan is a part of it. And they were monitoring the flights. The flights are still going on. But I don’t think I’d be the expert on who gets on those versus who just gets sent back to Mexico. I have heard some groups that the situation of what happens when they get immediately repatriated back Mexico is that they have no place to stay there, because the Mexican shelters are obviously very weary of accepting new folks, that they have no medical record, or if they—you know. Which was another case with the MPP folks, right? If you’re leaving a shelter in Nogales, for example, to come to El Paso, there’s no guarantee that once you get back to Nogales you’re going to be allowed back into that shelter, because they have their policies on once you leave you’re not going to be let back in. So a lot of those folks are—you know, end up in the streets. But I’ve also heard, you know, just anecdotally from other folks that with the immediate turn-backs, that there are more people paying the smugglers to try again, right? I mean, I don’t—we’ve heard for years that some of the coyotes, even before COVID, you know, you pay them a certain amount for one try, or two tries, or the money gets more if it include a checkpoint with border patrol. But I think now because the traffic is just—has just dipped so much, that with these immediate turn-backs that some of these smugglers are offering, you know, two, three attempts versus just one. So that’s another dynamic. But the things that I’m hearing the most concern about are not necessarily the border patrol stations, but the ICE facilities. And, you know, the reaction that some of the migrants get, just out of fear. And then, you know, there’s allegations they get pepper sprayed. There’s allegations that they don’t feed them if they start to get a little antsy about their situations inside these detention centers. But we’ve seen, just like in states—you know, the state prison system across the country, that in the ICE facilities that the number of COVID cases are definitely increasing every day. So that’s another area of high concern, I think. BROWN: Yeah, the other thing I would just note is that with the advent of the Title 42 expulsions more migrants are not turning themselves in, right? That was the case for the last several years, is that people would turn themselves in to try to access the asylum system. Since MPP and the ACAs, now people are trying to evade detection at the border. And that puts more power, if you will, back in the hands of the coyotes, who are trying to get them around border patrol. And that is a changed dynamic also. So that when people are caught they are expelled fairly quickly in general, but more and more—you know, that phenomenon of families just sort of showing up and raising their hands is happening less and less. FASKIANOS: Thank you. Emma Jacobs is next. Q: Hi. I was wondering if—this is maybe particularly for Theresa Cardinal Brown—your thoughts on the northern border and Title 42, and anything else to keep in mind. BROWN: So the Title 42 ruling, as far as I know, has only been applied at the—well, no, I take that back. There’s been a handful of cases at the northern border. For the most part, it is a southern border phenomenon. I think there’s been—the last time I looked at the CBP database there may be even a dozen total cases at the northern border. And I think that’s in general because there always have been far fewer apprehensions at the U.S.-Canada border than the U.S.-Mexico border. Usually it’s less than a tenth the number annually. But also there are just fewer people trying to come into the United States from Canada than, frankly, right now, going the other direction. And it’s not as—it’s not as substantial a number. They are being expelled. For the most part I think they’re being sent back to Canada, but I’m not sure about that. I don’t—I don’t have details on how that’s—how that’s going. And I don’t know enough about the nationalities to know what nationalities have—CBP has not given us that kind of breakdown of data for us to know. And this is one of the issues that we’ve had for the last several years, is that the data that we get is not enough. I mean, to give them credit, there was monthly apprehension data and monthly data on the number of unaccompanied children and families, and some breakdown in nationalities. And they’ve been doing that for a while. But we don’t have good data on ACA and we really don’t have good data on Title 42, other than what they give us in cumulative numbers. And so really understanding how these laws are applied, to whom they’re applied, you know, what nationalities they are, any demographic information about them, is hard to come by. Q: Thank you. FASKIANOS: Let’s go to Travis Bubenik. Q: Hey, yeah. Hi, sorry, can you hear me OK? FASKIANOS: We can. Q: Yeah. So I am a reporter with Courthouse News Service. And I’m in the Big Bend region of Texas. So, you know, really remote area, traditionally really low traffic of people coming into the country here. But I’m still curious if we know anything kind of big picture about just how—what the conditions have been in some of the more far-flung, you know, border patrol facilities, holding cells, et cetera, you know, in parts of the country like this? I mean, just—and I’m just asking because I feel like, you know, these kind of areas don’t get a lot of attention in general. So I’m wondering if we’ve heard any kind of reports about the conditions in general, anything that I should be thinking about. BROWN: Julián have you been to some of those border cross stations? AGUILAR: Well, I think after all the stories that came out of the Clint center, right, that’s here in El Paso County, we saw border patrol, at least in the El Paso sector, erect these huge tent-like facilities in El Paso proper, right in the middle of the city. And they said that, you know, one reason was, you know, to avoid situations that happened in Clint, in other smaller facilities, like Otero. And, Travis, I think you’re absolutely right. I think, you know, Big Bend, and Del Rio, and situations like that, they might get overlooked. I do know that before COVID at least, like, the Del Rio sector, the number of apprehensions there just increased dramatically. They might not mirror the numbers that the Rio Grande Valley or El Paso see, I mean, but as a percentagewise. And I think that’s what these large facilities were built for. There was even talk about building a larger processing facility in El Paso after the Clint situation that was similar to what they did in McAllen after the—you know, mainly the unaccompanied minor crisis under the Obama administration, and how quickly that was. So with respect to conditions inside the more remote places, at least in the El Paso sector, for example, when the Jakelin passed away, the little Guatemalan girl, right, that I think was the first of a series of young people that had died in custody, she was caught in Antelope Wells, or apprehended in Antelope Wells. And even Border Patrol—even some Democratic lawmakers said: Look, these look like gas stations—you know, like large gas stations. These are not equipped—and we’ve all heard the same explanation, right? These cells were initially built for single Mexican males. They’re not built for family units. So I think CBP, DHS, and Border Patrol erected some of these facilities. That’s why we had Tornillo all of sudden reopen to house more adult people in custody. There was a GAO report that said that that was just an extreme waste of money, you know, compared to the number of people that they were apprehending. But I guess to give Border Patrol credit, they did try to expand these facilities and open them up to avoid this overcrowding. But I just think that the numbers being so much lower since COVID and since the se border policies, haven’t heard as many complaints about treatment within the smaller facilities but, again, that’s not to say that it’s not still going on. I just haven’t been able to go out in the field. But I think that’s a great question. But at least for the most part in El Paso those complaints have—they still exist, but they have died down. BROWN: So what I would say is I have not seen evidence that CBP is undertaking a complete desire to redesign or rebuild Border Patrol stations across the U.S.-Mexico border, right? To accommodate a different number or type of migrant. That’s not—I don’t see any evidence that that is something that they are looking to do. They have looked at, and they are working on, for example, a Border Patrol-wide meal contract that would provide better, more nutritious meals for people who are in Border Patrol custody for as long as they are. They have created contracts for medical personnel. But the thing—and this is evidence by the GAO report—when they have a surge or, you know, just sort of this large migration event that they were unprepared for, there’s a quick, you know, sort of attempt at trying to throw resources at the problem. But then if it dies down, they’re like, well, wait, you never used all these resources. I think that’s a fundamental structural problem with our immigration system is that we don’t have any surge capacity built in. There’s no tolerance for creating a capacity that’s used in case of. Even though we do that, for example, in emergency management writ large, right? FEMA has stockpiles of temporary shelters and bottles of water all across the country because they know a natural disaster’s going to happen and they’re going to need to move that. But we don’t think that way when it comes to immigration. And history has told us that we will face this from time to time for reasons that we have no control over whatsoever. And so I think that we need to fundamentally rethink our management structure and our systemic structure for dealing with immigration to be prepared for these kinds of events, and have a plan, and not have to scramble after the fact when already there’s overcrowding and already there’s issues. I think that’s a policy issue. That’s a leadership issue. It’s going to be a budgetary issue. But I think we need to just rethink that whole structure. ROBBINS: Can I ask a question on a slightly different topic? Which, for both of you, how is the health care system dealing with migrants who are getting sick? I mean, you were talking about people in meatpacking plants, but also this question of people who are afraid to seek out or identify themselves now either for seeking out health. And also the previous Trump administration policy for green card holders. I mean, if you start accessing, you know, services from the federal government is affects your status. So suddenly you have large numbers of people who are particularly vulnerable people who are potentially going to get ill, and whose health we are concerned about, but also have the potential for getting large numbers of other people sick. So what are you—what are you hearing from a policy point of view or from—Theresa? And what are you seeing on the ground about people accessing health care who are potentially ill? BROWN: So from a policy perspective, I think what we have seen is that we’ve seen an administration that has been, for most of its tenure so far, pushing forward messages of strict enforcement, of, you know, we will enforce immigration law inside in the country against anybody who is undocumented, pushing forward this public charge rule, which as you mentioned would restrict eligibility for green cards for people who have taken advantage of certain public benefits, even if they are legally entitled to do so. And that has created an atmosphere where immigrants are afraid. They’re afraid of government, as Julián said. They don’t trust what is coming out of government. Now you overlay that with a public health situation where you actually need the public, all of the public, to trust what government is saying. And it’s hard. So there’s mixed messages. ICE said, we will not be conducting the same kind of interior enforcement that we did before COVID. We’re just not going to be doing that. USCIS put out policy that said that treatment for testing for COVID will not be counted against anyone for public charge. But it’s very difficult for many in these immigrant communities to trust that. And I think that that is causing problems. Health care providers across the country have noted even before COVID declines in access of health-care services to which migrants are eligible. There is definitely reporting that in communities right now people are afraid to go out. And if they contract COVID, should they go to the hospital, should they get tested? All of those things are absolutely true. And again, I think there is, as Julián said, fear of enforcement still, regardless of what ICE is saying, especially now when you see that ICD and CBP agents are being called up supposedly in support of local law enforcement in various places around the country. You know, it’s hard to trust that they’re not going to be enforcing immigration law even though, again, they have said we’re not going to be enforcing immigration law in that capacity. The trust is not there. And that’s difficult. It’s very difficult, because we’re in a situation where this virus does not—does not look at papers at all. ROBBINS: Julián, what are you hearing from local hospitals and health care providers about migrant communities and COVID? AGUILAR: Well, I think just taking, you know, El Paso just in general, without separating people from their status, I think they still—there’s still a gap from initially when city leaders, when the Health Department, when people would say even if you have mild symptoms don’t go get tested, right, because there was a limited number of tests, or you might get other people sick. So consider whether it’s just a cold, or whether it’s allergies, and things like that. So there was certain instructions in place early on. And then now that they—that there’s more testing, they’re encouraging more people to get tested. But I don’t think that message has really stuck. I think people are still considering whether or not they’re going to go. But, yeah, no, to Theresa’s point, even before COVID I think—and, again—and I’m sorry. I mentioned this before—in Texas before. I mean, everybody—we’re all familiar with the law. It’s like—it gives law enforcement, local law enforcement—it just sort of expands their policing powers. What it does is local governments can’t enact a policy that tells police officers: You can’t ask about immigration status. So this was a concern even before COVID, about folks going to the hospital. But I think—I think those are those two main issues, right? I think those—the issue is that people aren’t really sure if they should go get tested because of the messaging that came out early on. There are few tests. Don’t go get tested if you have—if you have slight symptoms. But, yeah, there’s also now the concern about enforcement, even though SB4 exempted hospital districts from being part of this charge. You know, if you go to the hospital for something you’re still going to see law enforcement there, there’s a good chance. And so I think even that sort of deters folks. A lot of folks that might not have access to it, who were just going to stay home anyway. But the city is really now trying to get people to get tested and, you know, trying to ease these concerns about the amount of tests. El Paso is neck-and-neck with Bexar County in the number of positive cases that we’ve had since people started testing. And Bexar County has more than a million people more than El Paos county does. We have more deaths that Bexar County does here. So I think city leaders here are trying to grapple less with, you know, reassuring people about their immigration status than just trying to speak to the cultural aspect, right? I mean Mother’s Day and Mexican Mother’s Day thankfully fell on the same day, because we saw a spike after Mother’s Day. You know, if Mexican Mother’s Day, which is traditionally, you know, celebrated on May 10, and there has been a—you know, American Mother’s Day was a couple days later, we would have seen two spikes, right? So I think this is what folks in El Paso, and I’ve seen similar efforts in Laredo-Nuevo Laredo, where city officials are telling people, like, look, don’t just go to the Mexican side to hand out with your family and then come back, because, you know, social distancing is different there. So I think the bigger issue, at least with COVID, and testing, and hospital access under COVID, I don’t think it’s that different from the concerns that the undocumented immigrants had before this pandemic. And again now I think we’re just trying to—it’s an information campaign whether or not people should go get tested if they have slight symptoms. You know, there’s a lot of folks that still believe, like, now all the summer’s going to, you know, come, and this is like the cold or the flu. I mean, it’s going to be 105 degrees in El Paso today. I have no idea, I’m not a medical doctor, what that does for COVID. But some people are still thinking, like, OK, well, it’s not really a big deal. And I do think that some people are out and about more without masks, you know, going to the stores without masks because they saw so many people converge and congregate because of these protests. So I mean, city officials are saying: Look, we had thousands of people in the park the other day. There’s still a pandemic. I mean, the county judge has said: If you were at a protest, please go get tested. So that’s how far we’ve come since March. But I don’t think the message is there across the county yet. FASKIANOS: Mike Price is next. Q: Hi, everybody. Mike Price. I’m with East Idaho News, here in eastern Idaho, believe it or not. (Laughter.) I just wanted to ask: What are your thoughts on what’s happening with H-2A visa holders? We’ve got a lot of H-2A recipients here as agricultural workers. I understand that USCIS has extended those, but are there other issues that we’re running into? BROWN: So this is one of those legal immigration stories that affects different parts of the country differently. So when the United States government basically closed down the U.S.-Mexico and the U.S.-Canadian border to all but, quote/unquote, “nonessential” travel, they had also closed down most—all but emergency visa applications at consulates around the world. So employers in the United States who had sponsored agricultural workers under the H-2A program or other temporary seasonal workers under the H-2B program were left very much afraid that the people they had successfully sponsored to come in legally would not be able to come in. And so they went—many of their organizations went and lobbied the government. And so agricultural workers, essential H-2B workers, were exempted from the cross-border checks. However, if you’re coming from other parts of the world, other than Mexico, for example, of Canada, travel to the United States can be really difficult, if you’re coming from the Caribbean and some other parts. So the government agreed to allow workers who are already in the country on existing visas that might otherwise expire to work temporarily for new employers who had sponsored people who hadn’t yet arrived. So there’s this kind of complicated extension that is available to try to help fill that labor gap. I have not yet heard how that’s working. There was also legislation passed at the end of last year that would have allowed DHS to allot an additional, I think it was thirty thousand, H-2B visas above the cap of sixty-six (thousand) for this year. They originally said they were going to allocate those visas, and then when COVID hit they took it back, because they felt, I guess, that out of work people could be taking those jobs, and/or some of those seasonal jobs may not actually exist anymore. So some of those visas are used for seasonal tourism industries in places that frankly are not going to have a season of tourism this year because of COVID. So I’d say it’s still very much in flux. And you know, just on a bigger level, this is, again, pointing out the challenges of our existing system not being up to the task, right? Our system is not flexible enough to deal with these kinds of things. And the government’s trying to adjust to a lot of different aspects. The president issued a ban on immigrant visas—new immigrant visas for people from overseas but did not address the temporary workers at all. And now we’re hearing that he might or might not address the temporary workers. And his argument in that immigrant visa ban was, well, we need to protect the jobs for the unemployed Americans. But if you’re still letting in other workers, how does that make sense? And the immigrant visas that they’re—that they’re stopping are not most of the visas—are not most of the jobs that have been unemployed, right? So there’s a mismatch there. There’s sort of a—I would say, it’s much more of a political point of view. And there’s argument without much data. So again, when I say there’s mixed messages, there’s also a lot of, like, not real coordinated federal policy addressing a lot of these issues right now. It’s very slapdash. It’s very, OK, we have this thing that we wanted to do before. We’re going to try to do now and use the COVID to do it. And it doesn’t quite match, but we’ll do it anyway. I think that’s another, you know, sort of on the national level, policy story that’s definitely the case. FASKIANOS: Thank you. It doesn’t look like we have anybody else in queue. So this is your last opportunity because we’re coming to the close of our time. While we wait for that question, I’m going to—Carla, I know you have many questions. So we’ll go back to you. ROBBINS: There’s always questions. So, Julián, I’m your editor. Pitch me a story. What story do you absolutely think we should be covering right now? And should we—if you had the ability to travel, should we be looking at the impact on people’s security on the other side of the border, the impact of the disease on the other side of the border? Should we be more focused on what’s going on on our side of the border? What are you just dying to do? And I’ll let you go do it, OK? (Laughter.) AGUILAR: Well, I mean, there’s—so I’ll give you sort of maybe the one that might be a little easier. If I wanted to do a story on the fact that the border wall construction has not slowed down at all, even though—you know, it might actually be ramped up. Would that surprise you under COVID? Or would you say that’s not really a story because— ROBBINS: It’s infrastructure week. (Laughter.) BROWN: It’s always infrastructure week. AGUILAR: Right. Right. So and I say that because that’s one that we’ve debated, right? I mean, you know, they just waived environmental regulations to fast-track sixty-nine more miles from Colombia—the Colombia Bridge, which is—it would include three states, actually—Nuevo Leon, Tamaulipas, and Texas, right? But you know, some people are like, well, that’s not really surprising, because this is the best time for border wall construction to continue. You know, so that’s—would you think that that’s a story that, you know, needs attention, even though it’s not surprising to a lot of folks? And the second one I would—I think it’s hard to separate, you know, our health over here in the United States versus the health is Ciudad Juarez just because there’s still so many people that go back and forth. So I think the story that that I would want to do would be, look, Juarez is the second-most dangerous city in Mexico—in the world right now, still even though with this pandemic. What are these folks that are being immediately returned through this immediate exclusion, where are they staying? Are they more—we’ve heard about, you know, the vulnerability of folks at MPP for years now, right, or for a year and a half, at least, on how they’re low-hanging fruit for these criminal elements that are out there. With these immediate expulsions, with the fact that nobody’s showing up for MPP court and getting trapped in Mexico even longer, is are we going to see an uptick on that? And what is the Mexican government prepared to do? And also, you know, maybe down page, the bottom third, is as the violence is increasing, is that just going to give the Trump administration more ammo to say well, this is exactly why we need more enforcement on the border? You know, just—I know that’s a long question, and it involves two or three different themes, but, yeah, that’s what I would do tomorrow morning if you gave me permission. (Laughter.) ROBBINS: OK. Just as long as you’re safe. Theresa, I’m reporting from Michigan. And I want to go find a doctor who’s here on a visa. And I want to write a story about how vulnerable they feel, knowing that they’re—you know, that they’re on the frontline, what you were talking about if, God forbid, they were to get sick or, God forbid, they were to die, the impact on their family. Are there particular groups or organizations that these—you know, that would be able to hook me up with those people to do interviews? How would I find those people, other than the sort of door-stepping reporting that we’re having a real hard time doing right now? BROWN: Yeah. So I would say that the places I would start is go to the hospitals, go to the clinics, and ask them about their doctors. Do they have foreign-born doctors? So are they in immigration, do you think any of them would talk to you? I mean, that’s sort of the basic. Local immigration attorneys. They all have cases. They all have cases. And they can put in touch with their clients who may—you know, and even if their clients don’t want to tell the story, they will tell the story of the client, you know, anonymously. And I think those are your best sources for finding the individuals. But the other good thing about talking to immigration attorneys is they will tell you why the system is a problem. And one of the things I would really highly suggest, if you’re covering immigration from a local angle, I see a lot of local human interest stories that tell the stories of the migrants themselves on the ground. And they absolutely need to tell their stories. But without a context of how that story is influenced by or links into the broader policy conversation, I don’t think we’re giving our readers enough of an understanding of why that story is happening. Is it just that the government is bad, and evil, and wants to kick everybody out? And yet, there persists this myth that the undocumented could just get legal if they wanted to. And I think if you’re not making those points together, you’re probably doing your readers a disservice. So you have to tell the stories, but I think it’s not enough just to tell the stories. You have to talk about the policies that make that situation happen and what are the options. That’s the next level. It’s connecting the local to the national. And vice versa, our national reporters need to connect the national policies to the local level and the individual stories, because it’s only with that full context can we have a really robust conversation in this country about what we do about immigration, because believe it or not they’re not—all these stories are linked. It’s a system. It’s an immigration system that has lots of aspects. And the problems with the system and how it’s been implemented are how we get all these results, all these outcomes of people caught up in the system or among the system. And it’s true with immigration. It’s true with an awful lot of the issues that we’re confronting as a country right now. We have to look at the system. The individual stories tell us the outcome of that system and what’s wrong. But to fix it we need to go back to what’s the systemic issue that’s the root of it. ROBBINS: Well, thank you both. I’ll turn this over to Irina as well, but I did want to also—and we can do this off line—but if both of you have recommendations for other journalists on where they can find data, in addition to the Bipartisan Policy Center, other good groups that look at the system, that write good policy analysis pieces. We very much appreciate the sharing. We know that the data’s very challenging, but certainly if people want to try to figure out what’s going on in their state or their community, how they can find information. Any recommendations from both of you on reporting would be really, really appreciated. And Irina I’m sure will track you down, or I’ll track you down for that. BROWN: I’m happy to recommend some colleague organizations on that. ROBBINS: Great. Thank you so much. And, Irina, thank you. Back to you. FASKIANOS: Thank you. And, yes, please, I will follow up and get those sources, and we will send it out to all of you on the call. Thank you very much for taking the time to be with us. Theresa Cardinal Brown, Julián Aguilar, and Carla Anne Robbins, we appreciate this hour of great information, heartbreaking stories. And we need to connect the stories with the system. We are in great—it’s imperative I think now. We’re seeing just how imperative it is. I encourage you to follow Carla on Twitter at @RobbinsCarla, Theresa at @BPC_TBrown, and Julián at @NachoAguilar. And of course—I love your Twitter handle, Julián, it’s wonderful. And please visit CFR.org, ThinkGlobalHealth.org, and ForeignAffairs.com for the latest developments and analysis on COVID-19 pandemic, as well as other regions around the world, and issues. And send us your suggestions for future calls, webinars that we can host as part of the CFR Journalists Initiative. You can email us at [email protected]. So thank you all again. Stay well. Stay safe. And thanks for all that you’re doing to bring the truth to your communities.
  • COVID-19
    The States and Reopening Under COVID-19: Why We Need North American Cooperation
    This post is coauthored by Laurie Trautman, the director of the Border Policy Research Institute at Western Washington University, and a global fellow at the Woodrow Wilson Center; and Edward Alden, the Bernard L. Schwartz senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, and the Ross distinguished visiting professor of U.S.-Canada economic relations at Western Washington University. Governors across the United States, reacting to the absence of federal leadership and direction, have been forming regional compacts to try to agree on guidelines for reopening their economies as the new infection rates from the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) begin to diminish. Three arrangements were announced this month: a northeast pact among Delaware, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island; a midwest pact among Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin; and a western states pact signed by the governors of California, Oregon, and Washington. These initiatives are encouraging, and could create a model for the rest of the country for how neighbors should cooperate when their joint safety and prosperity is under threat. But there is big hole in these efforts. Since the U.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreement in 1989 and the 1995 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the U.S. economy has become increasingly integrated with its northern and southern neighbors. Since the outbreak of the virus in March, those borders have been closed to travel for all but essential workers, increasing the damage to local economies that depend on cross-border exchange. Out in Washington state where we both live, there is a real danger that the western U.S. states will go one way on the speed and rules for reopening while western Canada goes another. This would drive a wedge into a vital component of economic growth in our region, which rests on building a more prosperous, cross-border Cascadia corridor extending from British Columbia to Oregon. In a story that has been replicated across the border states north and south, the virtual shutdown of the U.S.-Canada border at Peace Arch since March 20, 2020, has been one of the most disruptive actions taken by governments in the crisis. The thousands of crossings each day have become a trickle; cross-border passenger travel between Washington and British Columbia has fallen by roughly 98 percent, with steep costs for business on both sides of the border. Those costs may continue even after the U.S. starts to reopen its economy. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has said the border will remain restricted for “many weeks”, and the only way the border will fully reopen is if officials on both sides are confident that cross-border travelers will not become a new vector for disseminating the virus. The growing calls from U.S. President Donald Trump urging the states to restart economic activity even as the virus continues to spread in many parts of the country will not help reassure our northern neighbors. On the west coast, the province of British Columbia will need a lot of persuasion to start welcoming Americans again. To date, the province has seen just over 1,700 cases and fewer than 100 deaths, compared to more than 12,000 cases and nearly 700 deaths in Washington alone. The gaps between New York state and the province of Quebec, and Michigan and Ontario, are similarly striking. Both Canada and the United States have a strong stake in reviving cross-border ties as soon as safely possible, and the platform for doing so already exists. The western region, in particular, has a long history of collaboration across various scales of government and industry. Recent initiatives like the Cascadia Innovation Corridor, spearheaded by former Washington state governor Christine Gregoire, are aimed at developing the Pacific Northwest as a global hub of innovation in health care, technology, and other sectors, leveraging the strengths of both the western states and British Columbia. This region is also widely viewed as an innovative border policy incubator for both Canada and the United States, serving as a testing ground for programs like NEXUS and Enhanced Driver’s Licenses, which are later implemented across the northern border. Such accomplishments are unparalleled in other cross-border regions between the United States and Canada. There is a reason that so much energy is invested in the cross-border relationship, and why so many in the region see the value of strengthening those ties. Families, businesses, tribes, and First Nations straddle our shared border, and the social and economic costs of prolonged restrictions are incalculable. If border restrictions persist, or become asymmetrical in nature, there will be long lasting damage, particularly to norther border businesses that depend on Canadian consumers. Such businesses may not recover, despite targeted economic assistance. There is another reason to include discussions with Canada as soon as possible. The pandemic has encouraged nations around the world to pull up their drawbridges, enacting not just sensible measures to restrict travel but harmful ones to restrict the flow of life-saving drugs, protective equipment, and other medical supplies. Even the close U.S.-Canada relationship has not been spared from such actions. As a region, we have proven that we can do better, and we have reaped the benefits of a collaborative approach, not just within our nation’s borders, but beyond them. A new west coast initiative on responsible reopening that includes Canada could become not just a model for the country but for the world in how countries can work together to restore their economies and enhance the safety of their citizens.
  • Homeland Security
    Crackdown by U.S. Customs and Border Protection Likely to Drive a Deeper Wedge Between Canada and U.S.
    Those entering the United States at Peace Arch and other western border ports of entry are facing a stepped up enforcement regime that creates significant risks for all southbound travelers.
  • Mexico
    U.S.-Mexico Border Chaos, Israel’s Election, and More
    Podcast
    Tensions escalate at the U.S. southern border, and Israel holds a highly anticipated election.
  • United States
    Guns, Tech, and Steel: The Wall Debate and Digital Technologies in Border Security
    The president's push to "build the wall" fails to grasp the role of modern technology in policing U.S. borders.
  • Immigration and Migration
    The Migrant Caravan: A Policy and Public Affairs Challenge
    Podcast
    Eric Schwartz discusses the humanitarian, legal, and policy questions surrounding the migrant caravan, including U.S. relations with Mexico and Central America, U.S. and international practices relating to refugees and asylum, and immigration enforcement.
  • Immigration and Migration
    See How Much You Know About Immigration in the United States
    Take this quiz to test your knowledge of the trends and policies surrounding U.S. immigration.
  • Turkey
    Trump Backtracks on Family Separation and Crucial Presidential Election Held in Turkey
    Podcast
    Contentious OPEC meetings continue in Vienna, nationwide elections take place in Turkey, and outrage grows over the Trump administration’s family-separation policy.