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Ukraine

President Trump has paused all aid to Ukraine as he presses the country to move forward on peace talks with Russia. Ten charts illustrate how much aid the United States has provided Ukraine in its war against Russian invaders.

Ukraine

As the war in Ukraine enters its fourth year, the international context is changing rapidly, including the prospects for a negotiated settlement. Much is at stake, and it is essential that the challenges ahead be fully appreciated. Panelists will explore three critical issues for securing Ukraine's future: achieving a just and durable peace, ensuring its long-term security, and helping it rebuild and recover from the ravages of war. This event is part of the Council’s Special Initiative on Securing Ukraine’s Future which provides timely, informed analysis and practical policy recommendations for U.S. policymakers and the American public. Click here to download the full agenda. This event is part of the Wachenheim Program on Peace and Security which is made possible by the generous support of the Ed and Sue Wachenheim Foundation. Selected highlights  

 

Taiwan

Taiwan

The $100 billion investment by Taiwanese Semiconductor Manufacturing Company will boost U.S. chip manufacturing, but how will it affect U.S.-Taiwan relations?

RealEcon

The Trump administration’s America First Investment Policy has the virtue of conceptual clarity but provides little hope of effective implementation.

Technology and Innovation

Advancing the United States’ technological supremacy and preserving an edge in AI, biotechnology, and space requires government-funded research, especially as private sector innovation and competition from China increases.
Tariffs

Drug Policy

President Trump has imposed steep tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico in the name of curbing fentanyl flows into the United States. In reality, supplies of the drug—and related deaths—have sharply declined in the past year, though they are still at worrying levels.

Drug Policy

Over the past few years, a new threat has emerged as a leading cause of death in the United States: fentanyl. Yet even as the drug wreaks havoc on Americans lives, preventing its flow into the United States is complicated, partially because of the supply’s overseas origins, which is often China. What is China’s role in the U.S. fentanyl crisis?

RealEcon

Section 232 tariffs can backfire without exemptions, harming rather than helping national security.
Russia

United States

Panelists discuss how U.S. policy toward Russia may shift under a second Trump administration, including the use of sanctions, the continued war in Ukraine, Russia’s military capabilities, the political dynamics inside the Kremlin, and broader U.S. engagement with Moscow. This meeting is part of CFR’s Transition 2025 series, which examines the major foreign policy issues confronting the Trump administration. If you wish to attend virtually, log-in information and instructions on how to participate during the question and answer portion will be provided the evening before the event to those who register. Please note the audio, video, and transcript of this hybrid meeting will be posted on the CFR website.

Southeast Asia

President Trump’s new geopolitical strategy of aligning with Russia to counter China is highly controversial and raises questions about its effectiveness and impact on U.S. interests and global politics.

Ukraine

Liana Fix, CFR fellow for Europe, and Charles A. Kupchan, CFR senior fellow and professor of international affairs at Georgetown University, sit down with James M. Lindsay on the third anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to discuss Trump’s evolving policy toward Ukraine.
China

RealEcon

The United States’ relationship with China is at a new low, but Trump has a chance to redefine bilateral relations by locking China into the U.S.-led global system

RealEcon

The president’s plan for reciprocal tariffs sounds good in theory. But there was a reason the United States abandoned the approach a century ago. The gains would be few and the costs enormous.

China Strategy Initiative

Four questions framed Dr. Rush Doshi’s remarks to the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services: What are Beijing’s ambitions? What is Beijing’s strategy to achieve its ambitions? Is the strategy working? What should Washington do? The PRC has a grand strategy to displace U.S.-led order: to “catch up and surpass” the U.S. technologically; to reduce dependence on others while increasing their dependence on China economically; and to acquire the capability to defeat U.S. forces militarily. Beijing believes the next industrial revolution is upon us—AI, quantum, smart manufacturing, biotechnology—and aims to win it. China’s strategy includes three parts: (1) acquire technology by buying foreign companies, forcing firms to transfer it in exchange for market access, or steal it; (2) protect Beijing’s companies through tariffs, non-tariff barriers, and exchange rate manipulation; and (3) use subsidies, tax breaks, R&D support, cheap credit, state investment and other tools of industrial policy to undercut rivals of China's companies. Conservative estimates value PRC intellectual property theft at more than $1 trillion. This $400-billion-per-year strategy allows PRC companies to stay solvent longer than competitors that don’t enjoy state backing. And the strategy is working. Since China has joined the WTO, the U.S. share of global manufacturing fell by roughly half while China’s share quintupled from 6% to 30%. Beijing can leverage this incredible manufacturing dominance to gain military advantage and innovate. China is at the leading edge in robotics, AI, and quantum computing. It leads the U.S. in high-impact scientific papers and patents. And it accounts for half of all industrial robot installations worldwide, 60% of global EV production, 75% of global battery production, and 90% of solar panel, rare earth, and antibiotic production. In the military domain, the PRC has two hundred times more shipbuilding capacity than the US and is leading in new technologies like hypersonics. As Beijing’s economy slows and its population ages, it is pouring money into industry and exports to fund growth and to reduce reliance on its dwindling supply of cheap labor. To counter the PRC, the United States needs to work with others. The U.S., combined with its partners and allies, has three-times China’s GDP, half of all global manufacturing, more than twice China’s likely military spending, twice China’s patents and top-cited publications, and massive market power. Together, we can weather the “second China shock,” reindustrialize, and lead in technology. The U.S. also needs new institutions, such a federal industrial investment bank that can make long-term loans, take equity in strategic industries, coordinate with private capital, and fund reshoring from China to the U.S. or allied countries. Washington also needs to change private sector incentives and consider tax policies to encourage shareholders to hold equity positions for longer. The U.S. would also benefit from sustained or increased levels of basic science research funding. Finally, the U.S. needs to play defense. To maintain its technological lead, Washington requires stronger export controls, research protection, and regulation of inbound and outbound investment. The U.S. has never faced an adversary as formidable technologically as China; but it has everything necessary to succeed. Washington just has to make the right choices.
CFR experts provide timely analysis on the trade-offs and costs associated with U.S. President Donald Trump’s economic policies.

Events

Ukraine

As the war in Ukraine enters its fourth year, the international context is changing rapidly, including the prospects for a negotiated settlement. Much is at stake, and it is essential that the challenges ahead be fully appreciated. Panelists will explore three critical issues for securing Ukraine's future: achieving a just and durable peace, ensuring its long-term security, and helping it rebuild and recover from the ravages of war. This event is part of the Council’s Special Initiative on Securing Ukraine’s Future which provides timely, informed analysis and practical policy recommendations for U.S. policymakers and the American public. Click here to download the full agenda. This event is part of the Wachenheim Program on Peace and Security which is made possible by the generous support of the Ed and Sue Wachenheim Foundation.

United States

Panelists discuss the future of climate and energy policy under the new Trump administration, examining lessons from President Trump’s previous term, anticipated shifts from the policies of the Biden administration, and the trajectory of U.S. energy industries, including oil, solar, and wind, and natural gas. This meeting is part of CFR’s Transition 2025 series, which examines the major foreign policy issues confronting the Trump administration. If you wish to attend virtually, log-in information and instructions on how to participate during the question and answer portion will be provided the evening before the event to those who register. Please note the audio, video, and transcript of this hybrid meeting will be posted on the CFR website.

Women and Foreign Policy Program

In 1995, the Fourth World Conference on Women issued the landmark Beijing Declaration and Platform for Action, which established a global agenda to advance gender equality. For its thirtieth anniversary, the sixty-ninth session of the UN Commission on the Status of Women is conducting a review and appraisal of its implementation and assessing what barriers are impeding progress. Ambassador Verveer, executive director of the Georgetown Institute for Women, Peace and Security, who previously served as the first U.S. Ambassador for Global Women’s Issues, and Ambassador Rao Gupta, the most recent U.S. Ambassador-at-Large for Global Women's Issues, reflect on gains for gender equality since the Beijing Declaration and discuss what steps are currently most needed to protect and advance the status of women. 

United States

Margaret MacMillan discusses how history helps us to understand the present, how the past affects the decisions nations make about their interests and strategies, and why alliances matter in a changing world order. The Leslie H. Gelb Memorial Event honors the memory of Leslie H. Gelb, CFR’s president from 1993 to 2003 and a dedicated member for forty-six years. Gelb modernized the institution to reflect the changing realities of the post-Cold War era, and was a passionate advocate of common sense and strategy in U.S. foreign policy. For those attending virtually, log-in information and instructions on how to participate during the question and answer portion will be provided the evening before the event to those who register. Please note the audio, video, and transcript of this hybrid meeting will be posted on the CFR website.

Explainers

Featured Publications

International Law

Few Americans have done more than Jerome A. Cohen to advance the rule of law in East Asia. The founder of the study of Chinese law in the United States and a tireless advocate for human rights, Cohen has been a scholar, teacher, lawyer, and activist for more than sixty years. Moving among the United States, China, and Taiwan, he has encouraged legal reforms, promoted economic cooperation, mentored law students—including a future president of Taiwan—and brokered international crises. In this compelling, conversational memoir, Cohen recounts a dramatic life of striving for a better world from Washington, DC, to Beijing, offering vital first-hand insights from the study and practice of Sino-American relations. In the early 1960s, when Americans were not permitted to enter China, he met with émigrés in Hong Kong and interviewed them on Chinese criminal procedure. After economic reform under Deng Xiaoping, Cohen’s knowledge of Chinese law took on a new importance as foreign companies began to pursue business opportunities. Helping China develop and reconstruct its legal system, he made an influential case for the roles of Western law and lawyers. Cohen helped break political barriers in both China and Taiwan, and he was instrumental in securing the release of political prisoners in several countries. Sharing these experiences and many others, this book tells the full story of an unparalleled career bridging East and West.

Public Health Threats and Pandemics

A detailed exploration of the most sweeping government border closures in human history during the COVID-19 pandemic and the implications for the future of global mobility.

United States

Son of the Midwest, movie star, and mesmerizing politician—America’s fortieth president comes to three-dimensional life in this gripping and profoundly revisionist biography.