Economics

Banking

  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Africa’s Population Explosion
    Residents try to get into a bus at the bus station of Adjame in Abidjan March 20, 2011. (Luc Gnago/Courtesy Reuters) A Standard Bank analyst is predicting that sub-Saharan Africa’s population will reach two billion over the next forty years. On the positive side, he thinks that Africa’s population will become younger and more affluent, which will promote the growth of a consumer base and generate economic and foreign investment opportunities. I hope so, but I am not so sanguine. Certainly sub-Sahara Africa’s population is growing. For example, some demographers estimate that Nigeria’s population is already around 165 million, and Lagos (city and state) has seventeen million inhabitants. However, without improvements in governance, economic development, and infrastructure, rapid population growth can exacerbate long-standing quarrels over land use and fuel ethnic and religious violence. The characteristic youth bulge accompanied by soaring levels of youth unemployment adds another layer of instability. And even where there is a plethora of university graduates, too many of them cannot find jobs. To support its growing population, sub-Saharan Africa needs transformative economic development, including rapid expansion of food production, power generation, and improved infrastructure, especially roads. The economic growth that is measured by conventional statistics is not transforming economies nor creating the necessary jobs. In those countries blessed with abundant natural resources, the resulting state revenues are too often not being used to promote the public good. To achieve the sustained economic growth that would channel and enhance Africa’s productive powers requires leaders and institutions willing and capable of managing limited resources and competing interests. Population growth is neutral. The question is how governments and their institutions respond to it.
  • Global
    Sovereign Wealth Funds
    A primer on government funds charged with investing currency reserves for profit.
  • Fossil Fuels
    GCC Sovereign Funds
    Overview For several years, high oil prices enabled the Gulf Cooperation Council countries to add large sums to their state coffers. Falling oil prices imply that some Gulf countries may need to draw on their depleted funds to cover their import bills. In this Center for Geoeconomic Studies Working Paper, Brad W. Setser and Rachel Ziemba examine the impact of the fall in global equities on the Gulf’s large funds and explore how various oil price scenarios could shape those funds’ future growth.
  • Global
    McKinsey Executive Roundtable Series in International Economics: Sovereign Wealth Funds on the Rise: Should We Worry?
    Play
    Watch financial experts discuss the geopolitical implications of international sovereign wealth funds buying stakes in companies in the United States and elsewhere.
  • Global
    McKinsey Executive Roundtable Series in International Economics: Sovereign Wealth Funds on the Rise: Should We Worry? (Video Highlight)
    Play
    Watch financial experts discuss the geopolitical implications of international sovereign wealth funds buying stakes in companies in the United States and elsewhere.
  • Financial Markets
    Regional Monetary Integration
    An explanation of why governments contemplate regional monetary integration and why some country groups are more likely than others to exercise that option.
  • Banking
    The Global Credit Crunch: What Should a Central Bank Do?
    Play
    Watch two leading economists discuss market turmoil, the falling dollar, and the role of the U.S. Federal Reserve.
  • Banking
    The World's Banker
    Since 9/11, many have observed that global security depends upon improving conditions for the world's poor. But how to make that happen? No institution has grappled harder with this challenge than the World Bank. Drawing on some 200 interviews, including twenty hours of discussions with World Bank President James Wolfensohn, Washington Post editorial columnist and former Council Fellow Sebastian Mallaby takes readers inside the world's premier development institution. The World's Banker brings to life some of the bank's battles, from the reconstruction of Bosnia to the 1997 Asian crisis, to the battle against AIDS and the push to attain the Millennium Development Goals. And it maps the bank's evolution away from the macroeconomic focus of the "Washington Consensus" to a broader understanding of development that considers corruption, democratic participation, and the quality of political institutions. For the growing circle of people who care about international development, here is a book that explains the 800-pound gorilla of the field. The explanation is at times unsettling. Mallaby's account shows how hard it is for a big multilateral institution to be effective. Rich countries are forever saddling the World Bank with new mandates, declaring one year that its priority must be universal education and the next year that it must concentrate on AIDS, and undermining its focus in the process. Nongovernmental groups complicate the bank's efforts, too, mounting campaigns against its projects that are sometimes dishonest and unscrupulous. The World's Banker is at once a portrait of an intellectual quest for ways to turn a sliver of the rich world's plenty into progress against poverty and a case study in the frustrations of the global system. Never has the bank's work been more important, more in the public eye, or more controversial than it is today, when the emergence of terrorist sanctuaries in failed states have dramatized the connection between development and security. And never has the place of multilateral institutions in U.S. foreign policy been so politically contested. Mallaby parlays his extraordinary access to the World Bank and its leader into a revealing account of the challenges and contradictions of the West's efforts to enlarge the world's wealth. The result is a smart narrative joyride written by an author who combines enthralling storytelling with fresh and incisive analysis. A Council on Foreign Relations Book