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November 20, 2014

Europe and Eurasia
Bank Valuations Tank as ECB Flubs Its Stress Test

Low market valuations (i.e., price to book ratios) for euro area banks reflect market concerns over their capital cushions, opined the Bank of England just prior to last-year’s launch of the ECB s…

Bank Valuations Tank as ECB Flubs Its Stress Test

October 10, 2014

Monetary Policy
Are Fed Doves Mucking with Future Unemployment Estimates to Justify Dovishness?

Do Fed doves and hawks get their aviary classifications based on their cold, hard analysis of data, or is it the reverse – do they select data points to justify their dovish or hawkish perspective…

Are Fed Doves Mucking with Future Unemployment Estimates to Justify Dovishness?

March 28, 2014

Europe and Eurasia
IMF Reform and Ukraine: Amateur Hour for U.S. Economic Diplomacy

In our March 5 post, we argued that the Obama administration linking Ukraine aid to IMF reform was disingenuous and counterproductive.  We were right: the legislation failed, congressional Republi…

IMF Reform and Ukraine: Amateur Hour for U.S. Economic Diplomacy

June 24, 2015

Europe and Eurasia
A Full Greek IMF-Debt Default Would Be Four Times All Previous Defaults Combined

Since the IMF’s launch in 1946, 27 countries have had overdue financial obligations of 6 months or more.*  But the amounts involved have always been small, never exceeding SDR 1bn ($1.4bn). This …

A Full Greek IMF-Debt Default Would Be Four Times All Previous Defaults Combined

September 16, 2013

Monetary Policy
Why the Labor Data Point to a September Fed Taper

The August “jobs report is an important reminder that all this tapering talk is insane and dangerous,” pronounced Slate economics writer Matt Yglesias, reflecting the consensus of the econo-commen…

Why the Labor Data Point to a September Fed Taper