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April 2, 2015
Monetary Policy
Is the Fed Gonna Tighten Like It’s 1994? Or 2004?
How will the Fed raise rates once it starts? Gradually, in small steps? Faster, with larger steps? In 2012, before becoming Fed chair, Janet Yellen argued for a later first rate-hike than would…
November 15, 2007
Financial Markets
How long can the Gulf countries sustain their dollar pegs?
Note: This is Brad Setser, not Michael Pettis.The UAE is clearly considering changing from a dollar peg to a basket peg. Qatar may be as well. The economic case for change is quite clear. Both c…
February 25, 2015
China
Move Over Big Mac: The Law of One Price Is Lovin’ Our Little Mac Index
The “law of one price” holds that identical goods should trade for the same price in an efficient market. To what extent does it hold internationally? The Economist magazine’s famous Big Mac Inde…
October 9, 2013
Europe and Eurasia
Paul Krugman’s Baltic Bust—Part III
Geo-Graphics posts in July 2010 and 2012 showed that Paul Krugman’s devaluation-driven “Icelandic Miracle” was nothing of the sort – a figment of his having chosen the most favorable possible star…
