• Morocco
    Virtual Media Briefing: The World Bank and IMF 2023 Annual Meetings
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    CFR experts discuss the 2023 Annual Meetings of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund, taking place this week in Marrakech, Morocco. GOODMAN: My name is Matthew Goodman. I recently joined CFR as director of the Center for Geoeconomic Studies here.  Delighted to welcome you this morning to this event on the World Bank and International Monetary Fund annual meetings that are currently underway in Marrakesh, Morocco. This is an annual—actually, it’s really a semiannual event in practice because there’s also a set of spring meetings here in Washington every year. But this is a big event in the world of international monetary and development affairs, and we—there’s a lot at stake. Obviously, there’s going to be a lot of discussion in these meetings about global—the global economy and global growth, which is already troubled but is now facing a second major war that is going to be presumably disruptive. We’re going to talk a little about that, I think. You know, there are debt issues. There are climate change and other major transnational challenges. And then, you know, this is all against the backdrop of changes in the global order, as it were, where you’ve seen fragmentation among the different countries that are, you know, major players in the global economy.  And so I think we’ll try to explore all of this with a terrific couple of colleagues of mine whom I think are familiar to this group.  They are Benn Steil, who is a senior fellow and director of international economics here at CFR, author of a forthcoming book—am I allowed to preview that, Benn?  STEIL: Sure.  GOODMAN: —on Henry Wallace. But he’s written a lot about the origins of these two institutions in the—at the—towards the end of World War II. So a great person to have on this call.  And then Heid Crebo-Rediker, who is adjunct senior fellow here at CFR and also has long experience in international economic policy, including serving as chief economist at the State Department—the first chief economist at the State Department, I think. Right, Heidi?  So a couple of housekeeping notes. This event is on the record and there will be a video posted on CFR.org after the event. The run of show: We’re going to have a conversation here. I’m going to have a conversation with Benn and Heidi for about twenty-five minutes, and then I will invite questions and answers from the group. If you would like to ask a question, there should be a button at the bottom of your screen allowing you to raise your hand. And I will recognize people in the order that I see them. And I think that is all I need to say as introduction, so let’s just jump in here.  And, Benn, let me start with you and ask, kind of what do you think are going to be the big issues that will be under discussion this week in Marrakesh?  STEIL: Matt, you mentioned a dozen or so in your opening. I’m sure we can drill down into a number of those. But there are two that I would highlight that I think will dominate discussion, and they’re intimately related. The first is the resources—the financial resources that the two institutions, the IMF and the World Bank, can bring to bear. There’s broad consensus that this needs to be increased. But the second is the governance of the two institutions. And for better or for worse, those two issues are intimately related.  Without going at least initially too deeply into how the quota system works in the two institutions, it is different in some regard. Borrowing capacity, for example, is separated from quotas in the World Bank whereas it’s intimately linked within the IMF. In both institutions, quota is how much resources you put in relative to the total resources determines your voting power. And in both institutions—this is the way they were designed after World War II, predominantly, of course, by the United States—the United States currently has sole veto power when it comes to major policy decisions. It exercises that power because it is the only country with over a 15 percent voting share.  Now, to increase the resources available to the two institutions, the neatest, cleanest way to do this is to increase the total quota. And if you simply did that proportionately, you wouldn’t affect the voting shares of the individual nations so you could sidestep that particular issue. But given how small China’s voting share is right now—it’s a little over 6 percent in both institutions, which is just over a third of the U.S. share—naturally, China wants a larger voice, a larger share of the total quota.  The United States and its Western allies aren’t against that in principle. Obviously, the United States wants to maintain its veto power and wants to maintain sole veto power, but it is willing to give China, in principle, a bigger say. But there are broad concerns about the extent to which China is really dedicated to the mission of the two institutions, particularly because China has been a barrier to debt restructurings in a number of crisis-hit countries and China has not exactly been an exemplar in terms of financial transparency when it comes to its foreign-exchange holdings.  So, again, even though there is broad consensus that we should and can raise the resources available to these two institutions, going forward with that agenda will be very difficult because of the governance issue. And then we also have the political dysfunction in the U.S. right now, which will make it very difficult for the Biden administration to secure from Congress new funds for the institutions.  GOODMAN: Great. OK. Well, that’s a really important issue that maybe we can explore a little further as we—as we go forward, and there are some other issues you touched on that I want to dive in a little more deeply.  But, Heidi, is there anything else that you’re look at that you think is going to be an important subject in Marrakesh?  CREBO-REDIKER: So a couple of things.  One, I would say that the Biden administration has really put the reform of the MDBs—and particularly, you know, I guess in a sense putting the IMF back in the box a bit with the new leadership of Ajay Banga taking on really the mixture of ending poverty and on a livable planet, so the interconnected challenges of tackling poverty, development, and climate change. The IMF had really put a lot of resources into climate over the past five or six years, and so this is really, I think, a chance for the reforms—which will, you know, hopefully support significant new funding that Benn was alluding to—to be driven, appropriately, by the Bank in its capacity in its core mandate and by the Fund very, very separately, but going back to its core mandate.  The second thing I would say—and we can get—we can get into some of the details—but there’s a very significant long shadow of the geopolitical backdrop. You have—I mean, the buzzwords is fragmentation, but the U.S.-China competition issue is really—you know, it’s—it is driving a lot of the decisions on how we think about quota, as Benn alluded to—how we think about whether or not things like the Common Framework for Debt Restructuring, actually, they’re dysfunctional. And one of the big opportunities, I think, of this particular annual meeting was a new sovereign debt restructuring roundtable that was meant to be as inclusive of all different parties—Paris Club, you know, private markets, important bilateral lenders. And I—from what I heard today, the Chinese foreign minister—finance minister did not show up to these IMF meetings, and one of the challenges is to really get comparable treatment on—I mean, that’s what all of these—the framework is meant to do. And just this morning, it was announced that Sri Lanka and China’s Ex-Im Bank actually cut a side deal and basically blindsided everybody, so it basically tanked the whole concept of coming up with some kind of a—you know, a constructive multilateral framework.  Second on geopolitics, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It’s driven inflation, food insecurity, energy insecurity. And then a big—you know, a question for those focused on Ukraine is, really, is the U.S. going to continue to fund and anchor Ukraine’s military and budget support as an anchor to other multilateral and bilateral institutions?  And then the big news, obviously, is the terrorist attack in Israel. It’s had very little, you know, to-date impact on markets, except for a flight to quality. But as this has the potential to widen, will this have an impact on inflation, pushing commodity prices, oil, and gas prices up? And, you know, God forbid, if Iran actually gets more directly involved. Some of the grumblings that I’ve heard have been the pretty muted statement condemning the attacks coming out of the two key institutions.   So we can talk also about the big macro takes. I think there’s a lot more good news buried in the WEO this year than might be the case in the headlines, but handing it back to you.  GOODMAN: Well, let me—let me ask you about that. So, first of all, for the viewers that don’t know the vocabulary, the WEO is the World Economic Outlook, which the IMF issues around each of these meetings. And they have—they have downgraded their forecast for global growth to a little below 3 percent, I think, for next year, and well below the kind of historic average was closer to 4 (percent), I think. And so that’s sort of—and that’s against the backdrop of a lot of the things you’ve already touched on. But fundamentally, you know, it’s—you got a picture where the U.S. is about the only economy that is—that is actually doing pretty well in terms of growth, for now. Though, that’s a question about how long that’s going to last.   You know, China has been slowing and troubled by, you know, real estate-related financial issues and other challenges. Europe is not doing well. And the emerging markets are strained by all of the things that you touched on, Heidi, and some others as well. And now we’ve got, you know, the second conflict in the Middle East, after the one in Ukraine. So there’s a lot of uncertainty and disruption. You know, you just struck an optimistic note or said there’s some positive things in there. So can you just give us a couple of more hopeful, happy things to look at there? And then I’ll ask Ben the same question.  CREBO-REDIKER: Sure. So I guess, you know, the good news is that we haven’t entered a—you know, we haven’t seen the recessions that were anticipated six months ago. We’ve navigated some pretty significant shocks. And then, you know, so the U.S. has been—has been resilient, and has—you know, they’re expecting a soft—more or less, a soft landing, strong labor market. So more resilient than expected. And, you know, emerging markets—large emerging markets were sort of ahead of the game in tightening. So some of the bigger challenges that we—that we could have seen, I think, we—this has not fully played out yet, but it was better than unexpected, the emerging picture coming out of this world economic outlook.  Inflation is uncomfortably high. And I think they’re looking at a global expectation for inflation next year at 5.8 percent. But it’s very hard, you know, to put that kind of a number together, because there’s so much differentiation between different countries. And China, really, you know, that’s one of the biggest question marks. Will the property crisis get much worse? And what the—what are they going to be the spillovers into emerging markets? And that sort of weaves back into the to the geopolitical risk again.  GOODMAN: So, Ben, picking up on this sort of macro picture, and, you know, inflation and monetary policy, which you track closely, I mean, how do you see that unfolding? And what are the—you know, what are the—what does it say about the prospects for, you know, broader global economic growth? And, you know, I mean, if you want to predict what the Fed’s going to do in the next year I’m interested, because that’s going to guide a lot of the rest of the world. But how do you see that outlook?  STEIL: Well, the inflation picture, the growth picture in the United States, are better than we might have expected, say, six, nine months ago. And that’s clearly a positive. Financial conditions have obviously tightened considerably in recent months. And that’s without the Fed doing anything to add to it. That’s the market acting. And that very well may slow economic activity in the United States, which really is the driver of global growth right now, significantly. So that’s something to watch. But I think that at least on the inflation front, the picture is more optimistic than might have been drawn six, nine months ago.  GOODMAN: Yeah. And then you’ve got hanging over the U.S.—and we haven’t touched on this—but, you know, debt—a major, you know, debt challenge here in the U.S. And maybe—you know, there’s been a concern about that for many years, but now a lot more concern just given the absolute size of it and some of these other uncertainties.  STEIL: And it’s driving the tightening of financial conditions in the private markets right now. So, you know, government debt is really back on the agenda in a major way.  GOODMAN: And, you know, there’s also, as you touched on earlier, political dysfunction which raises questions about whether, you know, just in as much as a month from now or a little over a month, we’re going to be back in another—another crisis moment. So there’s a lot to worry about.  OK, let me shift, because there were some other topics I want to make sure we cover or get back into. So let’s talk about the debt situation for a second in the emerging world. Heidi, you’ve given us some breaking news about Ex-Im—China, Ex-Im, and Sri Lanka. This is contrary to a slightly more hopeful direction on Zambia, another country that had defaulted a few years ago on which China’s seem to be playing ball with others, and that it looked like, you know, this was a case where, you know, the common framework, which was this G-20-agreed approach a couple of years ago, was actually possibly going to get some life or wind behind it.  You know, what—you’ve, again, touched on it, but do you want to elaborate a little on what you—what you think is going to be the discussion in Marrakech about these issues, and whether there’s going to be any attempt or actual ability to bring, you know, the major creditors, including, by the way, the private sector, to the table? A lot of private sector in Marrakech, by the way, but there’s a lot of fringe events going on around the actual core institutional meetings. So, sorry, go ahead, Heidi.  CREBO-REDIKER: So, I mean, China is the world’s biggest bilateral lender. But I think, you know, to all of the hailing of progress and constructive conversations, particularly around Zambia, particularly the, you know, as the—as the—one of the most followed negotiations within the common framework, I have to say that I think that three years in saying that there’s victory and constructive collaboration because there’s an MOU which has not been acted upon, is quite underwhelming. And so, you know, I think it really does beg the question of whether or not we can have constructive conversations around a global multilateral table that includes the private sector, and the Paris Club, and large bilateral lenders, and try and do something for countries in debt distress that are able to put them on a better—on a better path.  So, you know, I—whereas I think that the WEO struck sort of a good news/bad news. I’m less optimistic that we’re going to see constructive negotiations, even though I think everybody’s hopeful. Three years in is really—you know, we’re still—we’re still nowhere.  GOODMAN: And you do have a number of countries beyond Sri Lanka and Zambia that are in trouble. I mean, sort of perennials like Argentina, you know, Pakistan, and others. But a number of others. And there’s one other issue, which is that this common framework is really—as applied initially—was really only for lower-income countries, right? Not for middle income. Sri Lanka is a country that, in theory, doesn’t qualify for the common framework. Is that something that’s going to be discussed as a possible change to deal with some of these other—  CREBO-REDIKER: Sure. Well, I think that was the ambition of this sovereign debt restructuring roundtable that really brought together the right parties. And I think they were planning a big launch at this annual meeting. And so, you know, the hope was that that would be the platform, that you could really see constructive negotiation. I think it is—it’s a—it’s unfortunate that the Chinese finance minister did not come to these meetings because the PBOC is not—  GOODMAN: The People’s Bank of China, the central bank.  CREBO-REDIKER: Exactly. They don’t—they don’t actually—they don’t speak for the negotiations that are happening on debt restructuring. So as constructive, you know, as remarks might come from them, it’s really the finance ministry that needs to take the lead on this.  The bigger question, I think, for—not just for debt for countries in debt distress, but more broadly, is where is all this funding going to come from? You know, it’s not just—it’s not just from additional quota and from, you know, extending balance sheets, and additional financing capacity and capital, broadening capital adequacy. So all of that is part of the, you know, the meat and potatoes of the discussions on MDB reform, but you need to get the private sector in there. And that’s been a perennial challenge.  And then at the end of the day, with some of the poorer countries, you need to have concessional funding, because you can’t just layer debt upon debt upon debt when you have high interest rates, where you have, you know, fiscal constraints that are tremendous with poor countries. And they face the biggest challenges from poverty, to climate, and adaptation, as opposed to what would be, like, a financeable type of climate transition in a in a different—a different kind of country.  GOODMAN: And the numbers we’re talking here are in the trillions. I mean, in fact, that independent experts group that Larry Summers cochaired, you know, was talking about, you know, multiple trillions over the next several—I’ve forgotten the time period—but something like 500 billion (dollars) a year of new funding needed, much of that from MDBs, but, you know, from elsewhere, as well. And there’s a real question whether those numbers are realistic. Ben, do you have thoughts on all of this? You did introduce the idea of resources. And so how do you—  STEIL: Yeah, I think the area I want to jump in is on one particular heavily indebted country that I think really nicely illustrates the growing tensions between the Bretton Woods institutions on the one hand, and China. And that’s Pakistan, which is enormously large. Now, I mean, they—you know, the World Bank and the IMF have made many mistakes over the generations. But broadly, they exist to promote financial stability, poverty alleviation, and good governance. And China has other priorities. In the case of case of Pakistan, it was clearly a major beneficiary of Chinese lending, because it’s important geostrategically to China. It is an enemy of one of China’s enemies, major enemies—India. And we don’t have, broadly speaking—“we,” United States, “we,” the West, “we,” the international community do not have much say there.  Now Pakistan has borrowed many tens of billions from China. It is—a number of those projects have gone bad. And then Pakistan, of course, turns around and comes to the IMF and says: We need help now. How do we deal with situations like that? Of course, the IMF is supposed to be there to help countries in crisis, but China was the one who created this crisis. So dealing with those growing frictions between the Bretton Woods institutions and China, which has its own geopolitical priorities is, in my view, unfortunately, only going to get more difficult in the coming—  GOODMAN: And are we likely to see—I mean, as Heidi said—fragmentation is kind of a buzz phrase or a euphemism for all this. But, I mean, let’s actually literally talk about is there a risk of fragmenting this system that’s been in place for, you know, seventy-five years, or whatever, with, you know, China setting up new—and they have set up a new multilateral development bank, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. Actually, more than one, also—  STEIL: The BRICS bank, which is technically called the New Development Bank, absolutely.  GOODMAN: But they haven’t—they haven’t challenged, at least yet, the IMF centrality.  STEIL: No, but Belt and Road obviously has. We’re talking about roughly a trillion dollars in lending over the past ten years. So it’s become a major competitor to the World Bank, first in terms of developing lending. And then because so many of these loans are going bad it becomes a competitor and a conflict generator with the IMF, that’s left to clean up the problems.  GOODMAN: Yeah. And it doesn’t feel—you touched on again—more than touched on, you discussed the quota issue and the challenges there. I mean, you didn’t say quite so clearly, but it’s, I’m sure you would agree, that it seems pretty unlikely that there’s going to be a twain—sorry. (Laughs.) I just let my lights go off. I’m the newbie here, and so my office is still unfamiliar to me. I hope you can still see me.   You know, a twain between, on the one hand, China’s desire for more voice and, you know, centrality in these institutions, and specifically more shares, and on the other hand, frankly, even if you say the administrations over time have understood the need to and willingness to sort of talk about reallocating those shares, I mean, the U.S. Congress—it doesn’t seem like this U.S. Congress, at least, is going to be, in a realistic sense, considering any way that we’re going to reallocate or, you know, give China any additional benefit in the system. So it feels like this is not going to be an area for, you know, compromise, or getting global governance going again in a more concerted, coordinated way, right?  STEIL: No, I mean, I can’t see that, both from a geopolitical perspective. China is not seen any more in Congress as being a responsible player in the international financial community. And that’s a problem in terms of giving China greater voice within the two Bretton Woods institutions, because the last thing we want to see, broadly speaking, is the IMF and the World Bank turned into a global Belt and Road, pursuing China’s geostrategic gain. But then, there’s the issue that even if we can get agreement just to do a proportionate increase in quotas that wouldn’t affect the allocation of votes, Congress is just not in a cooperative mood right now. So the Biden administration is anxious to go forward with greater funding for the two institutions, but Congress is not in cooperation mode. And that undermines the ability of the United States to drive the agenda in Marrakech, because other countries say to us: Well, you can’t deliver on any of your promises. And this is a big problem.  GOODMAN: Yeah. In a couple minutes I’m going to invite questions, so if you have questions get yourself ready and prepare to—or, go ahead and raise your hand. But, first, just—I mean, the other issue that China is a critical player on is climate change. Heidi, and this, as you mentioned, is a topic that is going to be discussed in Marrakech or is being discussed in the context of multilateral development, bank reform, and specifically the Ajay Banga soundbite, in a way that you—that you mentioned. That, you know, he thinks that the World Bank can continue to—and should continue to address poverty, while also enabling a livable planet. Which is, you know, an allusion to these global public goods, starting with climate change but also, you know, healthy—a healthy planet and other global public goods.  So is that going to be—is that where the next—the conversation about climate’s going to happen? And do you expect any, any progress on that, or on any other dimension of the climate story in Marrakech?   CREBO-REDIKER: I think it’s going to be a running theme throughout the meetings, because it is it is a top challenge. And, again, sort of separating the climate finance part of financeable projects in certain more developed markets versus, you know, what role the—not just the World Bank, but the regional development banks. Because, you know, they’re part of—part of this matrix as well.  GOODMAN: Like the African Development Bank, Asian Development Bank, the Inter-American—  CREBO-REDIKER: Asian and Inter-American, exactly, and the EBRD. And so, you know, what—you know, how these institutions can actually support other types of finance for more developed emerging markets, tackling effects risk, trying to figure out what kind of insurance mechanisms, where were different existing tools can be expanded. But also a huge focus on the concessional side. I mean, how do, you know, the poorest countries in the world who don’t have the money for investment in the types of things they need to do to tackle, you know, adaptation, you know, for rising, you know, rising seas, and flooding, and try to actually build in, you know, to the—you know, to their own investment, mitigation for it. That’s going to have to come in concessional funds. And it will need to come from the development banking system because—or bilateral funding from donors—because it’s just not—it won’t—it won’t otherwise—it won’t otherwise work.  GOODMAN: Yeah. I don’t know if you want to add anything, Ben, on those.  STEIL: Just a few comments. I think there is a pretty strong consensus that the World Bank has to make climate change a significant issue, to the extent that the World Bank continues to be a major funder of infrastructure projects in the developing world. It’s important to the planet that those not contribute materially to carbon emissions. There’s a lot more dispute about the extent to which the IMF should be moving into this area. For example, former First Deputy Managing Director Anne Krueger has been quite outspoken about the need for the IMF to stay in its lane and focus on financial stability. So even if you take climate change very seriously, it is not clear that this should be a role for the IMF, whereas it’s much clearer that it has to be for the World Bank.  GOODMAN: OK. I am going to ask Hannah if you want to introduce the Q&A part, and tell us how this works.  OPERATOR: Absolutely.  (Gives queuing instructions.)  Thank you, Matthew.  GOODMAN: OK. I want to challenge—I know there’s some good reporters on this call. And you guys are usually not shy. So feel free to ask questions. While you’re thinking about that, let me ask—this is the first meeting on the continent of Africa, IMF, World Bank meeting, I think in fifty years, since the early ’70s. There was one in Nairobi. And I think Morocco is definitely trying to—against the backdrop of this tragic earthquake that they had not—just last month, they’re trying to present both Morocco as a stable, you know, successful country, and with leadership capabilities in the region, but also to highlight Africa as a centerpiece.   I mean, we’ve implicitly talked a lot about these issues because we’ve talked about Zambia and some of the other challenges. Many of the debt challenges are in that part of the world, a lot of the climate change issues hit Africa in particular hard—particularly hard. Health and other things as well. So does either of you have thoughts about, you know, the significance of this being a meeting in—on the African continent? And how that’s going to shape the debate?  STEIL: I’ll jump in there briefly. I mean, one thing I think that will come out of Marrakech on the governance side is African countries getting a third seat on the executive board in the World Bank. I mean, that won’t make an enormous difference in terms of governance and how funds are allocated, but I think it will be—it will be symbolic. And it will help ensure that African development issues feature somewhat more prominently as the agenda under new leadership at the World Bank goes forward.  GOODMAN: Mmm hmm. Heidi, any thoughts?  CREBO-REDIKER: So, again, we touched on a lot sort of thematically throughout our conversation, but it’s incredibly symbolic that this meeting did go forward and it is held on the African continent. A lot of the programs that that both the IMF and the World Bank undertake are on the African continent. And a lot of the technical support that both institutions provide. The potential for upgrading how domestic resources can be catalyzed as well, in many—in many African countries. Transparency. And many of the common framework countries are in Africa as well. So sort of this is—and they’re under some of the biggest climate challenges. So it’s really—I think it’s very important that this meeting was held on the African continent. And Morocco has really, from what I’ve heard—we’re not there—but has really delivered so far on providing a great platform for this annual meeting.  GOODMAN: OK. Unless—it seems, again, I’m going offer one more chance and challenge to the reporters interested in these issues to feel free to ask a question. If not, I’m going to wrap in a minute. If either of you, Ben or Heidi, think we haven’t covered something that we should have, let me know. I can, while you’re thinking about that, oh, I think I should say also that corporate members are on this call, and you’re also welcome to ask questions as well, of course. There will be a video and transcript of this conversation posted on CFR.org. And you’ll find other resources available there on these related topics and specific topics that we talked about, and others. So feel free to go there.  Any final benedictions, Ben or Heidi, here? Again, this is going to be a semiannual conversation at least, because this is going to—the spring meetings will be held sometime in probably April of next year in Washington. We’re back, it seems, to the real world and people meeting in person. So one would expect a meeting here in D.C. in April of 2024.  And with that, if no other questions, I’m just going to wrap us up by saying, again, this is on the record. Video is going to be up there. Thank you to Ben and Heidi for your time, your insights, and for this conversation. Thanks to participants for listening. Thanks to the media and members who participated. And we will wrap up there. Thank you very much.  CREBO-REDIKER: Thanks  (END) 
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    Francesca Eremeeva is a research associate for the Council on Foreign Relations’ Middle East Program. Nolan Quinn is a research associate for the Council on Foreign Relations’ Africa Program. On December 10, 2020, then-President Donald Trump tweeted that because “Morocco recognized the United States in 1777,” the United States should return the favor by recognizing “[Moroccan] sovereignty over the Western Sahara.” This rather explicit quid pro quo, which allowed the Trump administration to secure the final addition to its Abraham Accords, was slammed as a “rash move disguised as diplomacy” by James A. Baker III, who served as both U.S. secretary of state and UN special envoy for Western Sahara. Criticism of the Trump administration’s decision has centered on its norm-breaking abandonment of the UN peace process. Another way to look at the decision, however, is to see it as the natural consequence of a dispute which has lacked effective and impartial mediators, creating a vacuum in which transactional diplomacy trumps multilateral peace efforts. The conflict over Western Sahara dates back to efforts to decolonize the African continent. When Spain relinquished control over the “Spanish Sahara” in 1975, it agreed to transfer administrative responsibilities to Morocco and Mauritania. A three-way war erupted soon after involving the two African states and the Polisario Front, an Algerian-backed politico-military organization representing the interests of the indigenous Sahrawi population. While Mauritanian involvement in the war proved short-lived, fighting between Moroccan forces and Polisario guerillas continued until a UN-backed ceasefire was signed in 1991. The ceasefire left the political status of Western Sahara up to a referendum to be administered by the United Nations Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara (MINURSO). Initially scheduled for January 1992, the referendum has yet to take place, leaving Western Sahara under de facto Moroccan occupation. MINURSO’s task of organizing a referendum was difficult from its inception. The essential first step—identifying eligible voters—quickly became a fierce political dispute. While MINURSO proposed technical solutions to the impasse, it left unaddressed the underlying political problem: both sides were committed to achieving victory in a “winner-takes-all” referendum. Well placed to fulfill that mediating role should have been the Organization of African Unity (OAU) and its successor, the African Union (AU). However, faced with Moroccan intransigence, a growing number of OAU member states—twenty-three by June 1980—decided to recognize bilaterally the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR), established by Sahrawi nationalists in 1976 to defend their sovereignty claims over Western Sahara, and sought its admission to the OAU. Morocco warned against admitting SADR on the grounds that it did not constitute an “independent sovereign African State” as specified in article IV of the continental body’s founding charter [PDF]. SADR was nonetheless admitted in 1982, to which Morocco responded by withdrawing its membership from the OAU. The OAU’s anti-colonial roots made it understandably predisposed to support Sahrawi nationalism. But the decision to admit SADR as a full member effectively put the OAU ahead of the UN stance [PDF] that, while the peoples of Western Sahara were entitled to self-determination [PDF] and independence, SADR did not—and still does not—constitute a state. The legally contentious and politically explosive decision engendered a Moroccan perception that the OAU and, later, the AU, were not neutral enough to take part in negotiations. Subsequent flip-flopping by the AU further reduced the continental body’s ability to mediate the Western Sahara dispute. After a thirty-three-year absence, Morocco was re-admitted to the AU in 2017, and in 2018 the AU formally limited its role in peace efforts concerning Western Sahara, choosing instead to support the UN process—both diplomatic wins for Morocco. Failures by the OAU and AU have been amplified by the UN Security Council’s unwillingness to apply pressure to break the ongoing diplomatic impasse. Baker, who came closest to achieving a resolution over Western Sahara in 2004 as special envoy, resigned the same year due to intra-Security Council divisions. A pattern of rhetorical condemnation over Morocco's occupation of Western Sahara, coupled with delays to the referendum without political retribution, has led to a stagnant peace process. Outside actors have, in turn, prioritized their bilateral relations with Morocco—or, less frequently, with the Polisario Front—over supporting a viable peace plan. The United States, until Trump’s volte-face, maintained an ambiguous policy of “positive neutrality,” supporting Morocco militarily while maintaining a neutral position on Western Sahara’s political status. Prioritizing bilateral relations is ultimately what made Western Sahara’s “final status” a dispensable concern which President Trump could wield as a bargaining chip. After all, America’s partnership with Morocco was never conditioned on the peace process. Trump’s norm-breaking over Western Sahara was driven, in part, by the same factors that motivated his support for Israeli claims over the Golan Heights and Jerusalem: securing votes from a relatively small group of U.S. voters for whom supporting Israel is among the more important issues on the ballot. That the interests of such a faraway group, almost entirely unrelated to Western Sahara, could bear influence on the territory’s political status serves to underline the danger of detached diplomacy. The AU, which remains an unwilling and ineffective mediator in the region, should view it as a warning call. Other latent disputes on the continent that require action are, for the most part, ignored. The AU has done little to bring Somalia and the breakaway republic of Somaliland together for talks, allegedly because it does not want to encourage other independence movements on the continent. Yet allowing Israel and Gulf states to vie unchecked for influence is hardly a better outcome. The AU’s marginal role in discussions on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam allowed the dispute to fester; a first round of AU-brokered negotiations last year showed promise but later failed, prompting calls for outside involvement. The looming threat from climate change—already causing conflict in West Africa and likely to intensify border disputes—means the AU needs to build stronger frameworks for numerous and varied disputes. The establishment in 2016 of the AU Mediation Support Unit is encouraging, as is the recognition of the crucially important role of regional economic communities, some of which have proven themselves effective mediators. But without a more forward posture in encouraging talks in conflict situations, new institutional arrangements will make little difference in building the AU’s credibility as a mediator.
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Blunt Dealmaking in Morocco Highlights U.S. Disregard for African Affairs
    Too often, the Trump Administration’s engagement with Africa has been characterized by insults and neglect. In their final days in office, Administration officials have doubled down on that posture, treating relations with the African Union and its member states as an irrelevant detail in their zeal to find quick wins on favored issues.  Whether this approach serves the long-term interests of the United States is very much debatable. On December 10, news broke of a U.S.-brokered deal to normalize relations between Morocco and Israel. Directly linked to that agreement was a U.S. commitment to recognize Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara, a disputed territory since 1975 and host to a United Nations peacekeeping mission since 1991. The transactional nature of the Western Sahara decision is explicit; it is framed as a reward to Morocco for cooperating with U.S. diplomats and Israel.  Not only are the rights of the Sahrawi people living in Western Sahara to self-determination irrelevant in this framework, so too, apparently, is the position of the African Union, which recognizes the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic as a member state. Many African states, particularly those with a recent experience of settler colonialism, view the Western Sahara issue through the lens of their own anti-colonial experiences, and while many also desire positive relations with Morocco, there is clearly no consensus on the continent to simply acquiesce to Moroccan’s claim on the territory. Tinkering with African borders from Washington to serve the interests of its Middle East diplomacy is highly unlikely to reflect well on the United States, or on Israel. The notion that the African fallout doesn’t matter is extraordinarily shortsighted.  Africa holds three non-permanent Security Council seats, is home to some of the most alarming and ambitious violent extremist movements in the world, and is essential to addressing global challenges from pandemics to climate change. How Africa, with the world’s youngest demographics, charts its course in the coming decades will have a great deal of influence on global governance and geopolitical competition. When the United States wants cooperation from African states, Washington uses the language of partnership. Our credibility in those moments, and our security overall, is not enhanced when we position ourselves as contemptuous of African institutions and the rights of African peoples.
  • Middle East and North Africa
    What Morocco’s Agreement With Israel Means for the Wider Middle East
    With six Arab states having established relations with Israel, a new Middle East is taking shape. But the diplomatic progress, facilitated by the Trump administration’s compensation to those states, has its limits.
  • Morocco
    Women This Week: Morocco’s #MeToo Moment
    Welcome to “Women Around the World: This Week,” a series that highlights noteworthy news related to women and U.S. foreign policy. This week’s post, covering October 26 to November 2, was compiled with support from Rebecca Turkington and Ao Yin.
  • Women and Women's Rights
    Women This Week: Increasing Equality in India
    Welcome to “Women Around the World: This Week,” a series that highlights noteworthy news related to women and U.S. foreign policy. This week’s post, covering September 20 to Septembe 27, was compiled with support from Rebecca Turkington, Rebecca Hughes and Alexandra Bro.
  • Women and Women's Rights
    Corruption, Gender Inequality, and the MeToo Movement
    Podcast
    Research shows that corruption hinders development and reinforces inequality. Yet anti-corruption efforts generally fail to recognize and address the impact corruption has on women’s lives. When women are confronted with demands for a bribe they cannot afford, they may be pressured to pay with their bodies – what the International Association of Women Judges (IAWJ) terms “sextortion.” The MeToo movement has created an opportune global moment to raise awareness and assure that international initiatives take full consideration of the interplay between gender and corruption. Transparency International's Marwa Fatafta and IAWJ's Nancy Hendry explore what a gender-inclusive approach to anti-corruption efforts should look like.      BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: OK. Good afternoon, everybody. I think we’re going to get started. So good afternoon. My name is Carrie Bettinger-Lopez. I am a fellow here—a senior adjunct fellow at the Council on Foreign Relation in the Women in Foreign Policy Program. And it is really wonderful to see so many familiar faces, as well as many new ones. And we’re really looking forward to today’s roundtable. We’ve been preparing for months for it. And the day is finally here. So it’s very exciting to be here. So you’re all here because of, I think, a really kind of innovative and important angle that our panelists today have been focusing on, the issue of sexual extortion as a form of corruption. Not something we hear about in our headlines every day, but something that’s really undergirding a lot of our headlines in our everyday news. And so this roundtable is really meant to examine how corruption not only hinders development and economic growth, but also reinforces gender inequality. And so in our discussion today we’ll address the ways in which women and girls are targeted and impacted by gendered forms of corruption, such as sextortion, which is the term that you’ll hear our panelists talk about that the International Association of Women Judges coined to really capture this phenomenon. So our participants today will explore gaps in data collection, anticorruption efforts, legal frameworks. And they’ll outline the next steps for a gender-inclusive approach to corruption. Now, of course, we’re having a global #MeToo conversation right now. And this topic falls squarely within that conversation. From Harvey Weinstein to humanitarian aid workers who are using positions of power to demand sexual favors, we’re reading about this issue in the news. But again, the questions about kind of what frameworks we’re seeing it framed in the news, whether we’re seeing an anti-discrimination framework, whether we’re seeing these as anticorruption efforts to hold these men who abuse power to account. Whether we’re speaking about—(background noise)—oh, bless you. Whether we’re speaking about—that’s OK. Whether we’re speaking about impunity, these are—these are some of the foremost questions that we’ll be addressing today. And, again our panelists I think will frame some of these issues from a really innovative and novel direction. So without further ado, I’d like to introduce our speakers. And what we’ll be doing is having about a 25-minute moderated Q&A with them, where I’ll be asking questions and we’ll be engaging in a conversation with each other. And then we’ll open it up for about twenty-five minutes of questions from the audience. And for those of you who—I’ll remind you of this at the Q&A—but you’ll place your cards like this if you have a question, and I’ll ask you—I’ll call upon you, just like I do in my law professor role normally. (Laughter.) And we really look forward to the conversation. So, to my immediate left is Marwa Fatafta, who is joining us most immediately from Berlin. Marwa, excuse me, is the regional advisor for the Middle East and North Africa at Transparency International. She does a lot of work on policy analysis and advocacy and political communications and has worked closely with the International Association of Women Judges in a project I’ll discuss in a moment. And Nancy Hendry is a senior advisor to the International Association of Women Judges. And she’s really led IAWJ’s work to address sextortion and has worked with international partners closely on this issue. Together, Marwa and Nancy coordinate the International Association of Women Judges and Transparency Internationals’ joint project, called New Standards of Integrity and Accountability, recognizing corruption’s impact on women. And we’re really looking forward to having the two of you talk more about your work, and your work together. So without further ado, please join me in welcoming Nancy and Marwa. (Applause.) So we’ll start with a question. We’re going to start big, and funnel down. I call this in my law professor role the T funnel technique. And I want to start with the question of corruption, right, because the word corruption is the word we see in our headlines. We see it in U.N.—United Nations conventions, we see it in discussions all the time about corruption and bribery. So I want to ask Marwa, what constitutes corruption? What impact does corruption have on development, on economic institutions, and on economic growth? FATAFTA: Is this on? Thank you. Let me start by saying thank you very much for the kind invitation to be here today with you. And I look forward to having a lot of interesting discussions about gender and corruption. MS.     : Can you bring it closer to you, please? FATAFTA: Can you hear me now? MR.     : Bring the mic closer. FATAFTA: So it has to be super close. OK, sorry. Yeah. So we define corruption as the abuse of entrusted power and authority for private gain. And corruption takes many forms. One of them is the gendered form of corruption’s extortion, which Nancy will talk about in great detail. But we can classify it generally based on the assets or the amount of money loss in the sector where it occurs into grand corruption, petty corruption, and political corruption. Grand corruption, as the name suggested, happens at the high level of government, where political leaders or decision-makers utilize the central function of the state or the state resources for their private gain, at the expense of—at the expense of the public. Petty corruption happens more at the everyday level by low- to mid-level public officials who abuse their positions to get further whether monetary or sexual or other advantages. And that happens with their interactions with ordinary citizens. So we see it a lot in terms of bribery, nepotism, clientism, in the delivery of basic services and public goods. So schooling, housing, education, obtaining government documents, and so on. In terms of the impact, it’s a well-established fact that corruption has a devastating effect on the economy of states and on its national development. And that’s, of course, recognized by the mere fact that fighting bribery is part of the Sustainable Development Goals, specifically Goal 16, which aims at reducing bribery. When we—when—in the setup where the few who are in leadership positions use the state resources for their advantages, and we know that in states resources are scarce, we’re talking about impoverishing the population at the—and expanding the wealth, status, and power of the political elite. Politically, of course, corruption undermines democracy and rule of law. When public administrations or institutions are being used, or misused actually, for the private gain of public officials, that leads to mistrust in these institutions. And mistrust could lead to political instability. If we—if we zoom in at the public—or, sorry—if we zoom in into the delivery of basic services, we know at TI, from our work in 100 countries around the world, that when people don’t have access to—or have, actually, to pay a bribe or know somebody in order to have access to a basic service like good schooling, or education, or even water and sanitation, in some countries, and they can’t, while others can because they have the money or they know the right connections, that leads not only to mistrust in these institutions and it undermines the authority of the government, but it also roils the seeds of discontent. And that’s why in a lot of demonstrations and protests, and when people go out in the streets around the world, a lot of the demands are about ending corruption. In some cases, that could contribute to the rise of extremist groups and furthering political instability. I mean, if we look—we have a clear example when we look at the propaganda campaign of ISIS in Syria and Iraq. They absolutely—one of the biggest pillars of their campaign was an anti-corruption campaign. That they’re here to provide good services to the people in the so-called state that they aspire to make. And while the previous government didn’t look into the needs of the people, they are there to do so. So that obviously reflects to what level corruption contributes to political instability. And, again, these—the facts are reflected in Transparency International’s annual index on public sector corruption, the Corruption Perceptions Index, which we publish every year. Those that countries that are at the top of the list, which are supposed to be clean countries, are countries like Denmark and New Zealand, for example. These countries are known for their transparent, good institutions. They are peaceful countries. Countries that make it at the very bottom of the list, like Iraq, Yemen, Syria, Sudan, Somalia, these countries that are inflicted with violent conflicts, civil war, and turmoil. And to—and to add to that, the World Bank actually found out that governments that have good governance indicators are 45 percent less likely to be in civil war. So, again, that shows to what level, to what extent corruption can damage and ruin countries politically and also economically. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Thank you so much. That was a great overview. Nancy, now let’s move into the question of sextortion, sexual extortion. And can you tell us a little bit about how you came up with this term, some examples of it, and who does this most effect? HENDRY: OK. It’s a great pleasure and honor to be here today, thank you very much, to talk about something that is near and dear to my heart. The IAWJ first focused on this about 10 years ago. We heard stories from our members about abuses that were occurring with seeming impunity. Different parts of the world, different sectors. Border guards in Central America who were demanding sexual favors to allow women who were migrating north to pass the border. Prison guards in Uganda, who were demanding sexual favors to deliver food and medication to prisoners. The sexual favors being demanded from the wives, girlfriends, daughters who had to come and bring these things to the prisons, because the prisons were not capable of providing them on their own. And the judges were concerned that nothing seemed to be done about these kinds of abuses. And the insight that we had at that time was that these are not isolated bad apples, officials abusing powers in different contexts, different countries, but rather part of a broad pattern of abuse of power for purposes of sexual exploitation. But it was something that didn’t seem to be discussed. And when we looked into it, one of the challenges was figuring out is this sexual exploitation? Is it rape? Is it sexual harassment? Is it corruption? It’s not financial. And on the other side, there appeared to be an almost consensual element to it, albeit under situations of extreme duress. And we thought the first step in even beginning to address this issue was to give it a name. And the name we chose was sextortion. At the time, that didn’t have another widely accepted meaning and it captured the fact that, unlike other forms of corruption and unlike other forms of gender-based violence, sextortion involves both. And I think we came to believe it may be precisely because it occurs at that intersection that it seemed to be eluding prosecution as either, and generally going unrecognized and unaddressed. So we gave it a name and identified the key elements, which you see on this slide. Constitutes sextortion needs to be someone with entrusted authority. That’s part of the corruption definition that Marwa just gave. That person has to abuse that authority in exchange for a personal benefit. Again, part of the definition of corruption. There has to be a quid pro quo. That quid pro quo has to have a sexual characteristic. It doesn’t have to be sexual intercourse. It can be a nude photo. But it has to have a sexual characteristic. And this is achieved through the coercive power of authority, no with a knife to your throat or other form of physical violence, as happens in rape for example. So those are the four elements of sextortion. I could talk for too long about the different examples. Suffice it to say that it is a global problem that takes many forms and touches virtually every sector. Wherever power and vulnerability collide, you have the potential for sextortion. So it’s in the judiciary. In the U.S., a judge in Arkansas was recently sent to jail for trading leniency to young male defendants in exchange for posing for nude photographs. It is in education. In some African countries, they talk about STD, sexually transmitted degrees, because this phenomenon is so pervasive. It’s in law enforcement. Many of you saw the AP’s investigation into police officers who lost their badges for sexual misconduct. Some significant percentage of those were for officers whom they described as preying on the vulnerability of women and, in some cases, some immigrant men, threatening them with arrest or deportation in exchange for sexual favors. And of course, in the workplace. I mean, quid pro quo sexual harassment would be a classic form of extortion. And in government. Government officials who control access to basic services, such as water, sanitation, electricity, public housing, documentation, this interface between local government and the public is a prime place where corruption occurs. And of course, when women are involved, it often takes the form of a demand for sexual favors. And what has been striking to me is the universality of women’s experience with this. So in Baltimore, you see headlines about sex for repairs with women in public housing who can’t get the mold eliminated or the heating on the or the electrical wires dealt with, unless they provide sexual favors. And in Zimbabwe, Transparency International documented cases of council officials threatening to evict women from public housing unless they provided sexual favors. And in Israel there are cases of women who are not able to get public housing unless they are willing to grant sexual favors to the local officials in charge of it. Of course, in international peacekeeping and aid, we have the example of Haitian women who engaged in transactional sex with U.N. peacekeepers to get relief supplies, like food and medicine. And in Syria, the U.N. Population Fund found that humanitarian assistance was being exchanged for sex. And in fact, the problem was sufficiently pervasive that you had women who were refusing to go to distribution centers, because they feared that people would believe they had had to provide sex in order to receive the aid that they got. So who does it affect? It has a disproportionate impact on women, but as the Arkansas case illustrates men can also be victims. The key really is vulnerability. So those who have fewer alternatives, whether because of poverty, lack of education, lack of political power, immigration status, or other marginalizing factors, are all likely to be more effected by sextortion. But as the #MeToo movement illustrates, no one is immune. You can be extraordinarily talented, well-educated, and on the path to success. And if there someone, like a Harvey Weinstein, who stands between you and the next step in that process, you may be vulnerable to a sextortion demand. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Thank you, Nancy. You all have really captured so much in a short period of time. Thank you. Marwa, why don’t we move on to talking about kind of the human rights agenda. We were just speaking prior to this roundtable about how often—how often, or lack thereof, the word corruption is kind of used in the human rights discourse, and vice versa, in anticorruption discourses how rarely we see references to human rights, and when we do what that means. So could you talk to us just a little bit about kind of where the human rights agenda and the anticorruption agenda do overlap or should overlap, in your opinion? Where are there tensions? And can you talk to us a little bit about the tensions and how you might seek to resolve them? FATAFTA: OK. So the impact of corruption on human rights, and the realization of human rights, are well-recognized. It is often—behind every act of corruption, there is a violation of a human right of some sort. And that could be direct, like bribing a judge in order not to have a free trial. It can also be indirect, by those who can bribe certain doctors to get medical services, deny the right of those who can’t of having access to the same medical services. And so we all know that corruption impacts human rights, civil rights, political rights, even to the point of collective rights such as the right to development and self-determination. And while there is that recognition, what you refer to—what you refer to as tension is basically that the human rights movement and the anticorruption movement, they have been working on the same issues but from different angles, in parallel to each other but not together. And actually, interestingly, if you look at the language in itself, the language that we as an anticorruption community use and what the human rights community uses, it’s two faces of the same coin. So what we refer to—so the anticorruption community works on ensuring that the policies are not distorted, that there is an independent judiciary, that there is equal access to public services, that there are transparent public institutions, while on the other hand the human rights agenda it works on the realization of these rights. And so when we talk about having—about improving the provision of basic services, the human rights call it equality and nondiscrimination. When we talk about having an independent or free—having a free, independent judiciary and (refrain ?) the kind of political corruption, we’re talking on the human rights side about the realization of political and civil rights. And so—and that, again, reflects of how these two movements are, again, addressing the same issues, but kind of separately. Now, as I—as I mentioned in our conversation, of course there is an understanding of that impact. But when it comes to working on the issue at the local level—and, again, that we know from our experiences because day in and day out in documented cases of corruptions that come to our legal centers, it impacts people’s lives. And that’s what Nancy, with all these horrendous examples, show again what’s at stake there. The Human Rights Council last year passed a resolution recognizing the impact of corruption on human rights, and asked—or asked, basically, anticorruption commission and agencies to cooperate with national human rights institutions to exchange knowledge, to cooperate on that level. It also encouraged the U.N. High Commissioner on Human Rights—for Human Rights, and the U.N. Office on Drugs and Crimes to also cooperate on these issues. Yesterday there was—as part of the—or, as a result of that resolution, an expert working group meeting between these two U.N. bodies to discuss how these two movements can converge. But the status quo is that at least from an anticorruption angle, the human rights mechanisms that are existing, they’re being underused, let’s say, by the anticorruption community. And that’s because often—I mean, traditionally corruption has been not framed as a human rights issue, but as an obstacle to human rights, as an obstacle to economics and social development. And that’s—and that contributes to why these two movements are still not converging, these efforts. And I think, in my opinion, there’s a lot of potential for these two movements to come together, especially at this current time where there is an aggressive crackdown on political and civil rights, and human rights, around the world, where civil society space is becoming super, super tight. By every measure and index out there, we know that our rights—especially rights to freedom of—I mean, freedom to—freedom of expression, freedom of association, these rights are being under attack right now, media freedoms. And from an anticorruption agenda, we know that it’s whatever anticorruption policy or strategy out there, it’s not possible to realize and to implement that strategy in an environment where human rights are being violated and being oppressed. And at the same time, we know, as the examples that Nancy gave and also when I discussed how corruption affects the economy and the politics of certain countries, we know that we can’t realize human rights without eradicating corruption. So these two agendas, they very much need each other. And therefore, I think there’s a lot of room to build bridges, and to use every treaty and mechanism that is out there to fight these two issues together. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Thanks. So speaking of treaties and mechanisms, let’s turn to the international space for a moment in terms of the United Nations. And I’d like to pose the question to both of you—and perhaps then we’ll wrap up and turn it over to Q&A—if you could talk a little bit about the work of your respective organizations at the United Nations and with kind of multilateral institutions. So, for example, Nancy, if you could talk a little bit about the International Association of Women Judges’ efforts to include sextortion and sextual harassment in the United Nations Office of Drug and Crimes Global Judicial Integrity Network. HENDRY: Thank you. This has been a recent opportunity, and one we’re very excited about. The UNODC has launched a Global Judicial Integrity Network. There were a series of preparatory meetings leading up to the launch. The launch was in April of this year in Vienna. The past president—immediate past president of the IAWJ participated in at least one of those preparatory meetings and was able to talk about sextortion with the staff who are working on this issue. We submitted a proposal for the launch meeting, which was accepted. And so we were able to present a panel on sextortion at the launch, which actually they featured and gave a fair amount of visibility to. As part of the launch proceedings, there was a final declaration adopted by the participants. The participants were drawn—invitees included, you know, chief justices from judiciaries around the world, a number of other U.N. representatives from countries, some civil society. And IAWJ proposed language for the declaration that specifically referenced the importance of including gender, specifically sextortion and sexual harassment, in judicial training on modes of conduct and judicial integrity. So unlike other international instruments, that do not specifically use this term or mention gender in connection with an issue like integrity and corruption, this actually does. And that is tremendous exciting. It opens the way now that one of the next tasks of the network will be to produce online, and I think eventually other forms of training materials, and to see that those training materials that will be available globally include this concept. And it is—it was interesting. At the launch event, I spoke with a person who had been working on the training materials. And I, of course, raised the issue of sextortion. And he said, you know, that’s interesting, because we have an example that includes a huge hamper of goodies as a bribe, but it just never occurred to use to include an example that had sexual favors. So now our hope is that it will occur to them, and that this will make a difference in the way that judiciaries around the world see ethnical obligations and see the gendered impact of corruption. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Maybe in a future—during the Q&A you can show us the Malaysians—the slide from Malaysia. HENDRY: Oh, I would love to, yeah. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Which really captures that as well. You all see it in a minute, but kind of people’s notions of what corruption constitutions, not what we’re talking about at this roundtable. So, Marwa, along those lines also, could you tell us about Transparency International’s efforts to make gender a part of the United Nations Convention Against Corruption agenda? I will mention that, you know, in preparing for this, we all took, like myself, a first look, and probably for you all, like, a hundredth look at the UNCAC, the U.N. Convention Against Corruption. And, well, Marwa can tell you about how many times it mentions the words sex or sexual extortion, or anything related to the topic of today’s conversation. (Laughter.) FATAFTA: The word count is zero, unfortunately. (Laughter.) So as part of the project that we have in partnership with IAWJ, tacking sextortion in Morocco, I was there leading a delegation to—one delegation from Morocco, and other chapters of TI from the region to the COSP, which is the conference on state party members, of the convention that took place last year in November in Vienna. That was my actually first participation in that—in that conference, to see it, and to understand how states interact around the convention provisions. Now, of course, the convention—I mean, the UNCAC agreement itself, it does not mention gender. And it is very much—has an economic lens over the provisions. It talks about reducing bribery, or fighting bribery, corruption in the public sector, money laundering, asset recovery. It encourages technical cooperation and exchange between different state members of the convention. However, it does not reflect the human rights and the gender part of the corruption problem. What we tried to do back then in November with Transparency Morocco, that’s the national partner of TI in the country, and also the implementing partner of the project that we have in Morocco. We tried to talk to the Moroccan official delegation there in order to influence or maybe to see if they can sponsor resolution on incorporating gender into the UNCAC agreement. Now, that’s work in progress. And we know that there will be another COSP meeting in 2019, so next year, in the UAE. That would be another opportunity for us to advocate for including gender as part of the agreement. I mean, looking at the bribery aspect of that convention, it doesn’t specify—it’s not very much in monetary terms. It just—it uses the word “advantages.” However, we know from experience that when you have that word “advantages,” often sextortion or sexual favors are not a part of that interpretation. And therefore, we think it’s very important to include it where we can in order to fight sextortion. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Thank you. I think we’re going to turn it over to all of you now. So if you have any questions, please place your name cards. Great. OK, so I’ll go around the room and clockwise. So go ahead. Yes. Q: Thank you very much. Perhaps an obvious point given the gender distribution in this room, it does seem to me that an effective coalition, including men, is pretty important in addressing solving whatever you want to call it, this problem. So I wonder what your thoughts are about that, and what success you’ve had in bringing men into the discussion. And the second point, what about the—I have a daughter and a wife, both of whom are significant professionals. And talk to me about the innuendos, the sexual hints, the things that don’t result in an actual exchange, but which are, nonetheless, a power relation of a man and a woman. To what extent is this a fight against that? And to what extent are they related? I’d enjoy your comments.  HENDRY: Well, definitely men need to be a part of this. And one of the things, frankly, that appeals to me about looking at this through a gender—through a corruption lens, rather than through a gender-based violence lens, is that there are people who may not be as passionate about gender equality as they are about transparent, accountable governance. And the fact is, when you have an official who is charged with making decisions in accordance with the rule of law and based on merit and certain rules and regulations, and instead that person makes the decision based on personal benefit, it does not matter whether that benefit is cash or whether it is a sexual favor. The damage that is done to a society that seeks to operate in accordance with the rule of law, and with integrity, is just the same. And people should care about that and want to see it addressed. And because of all of the shame and stigma associated with sexual offenses, one of the challenges is that this tends to be—think of it as a problem hidden in plain sight. You know, when you talk about it everyone says, oh, yes, of course that does happen. But women are very reluctant to come forward. And I think that’s been one of the lessons of the #MeToo movement, is just how hard it is. How hard it is to—when you have inadequate laws and complaint mechanisms, when you have often an enabling environment of people who suspect something is going on but don’t say anything, and the result is this relative impunity. So I think looking at it as a form of corruption is very helpful. It would never occur to you to say that someone isn’t guilty of an abuse of power or corruption because a person paid the bribe willingly and the official accepted it. And yet, when you look at the analysis under a gender-based violence offense, whether you have rules that recognize nonphysical forms of coercion or not, you still end up with people saying, oh, but didn’t she get something in exchange? Didn’t she benefit? Wasn’t it really consensual? Didn’t she maybe desire this? All of that is meaning—I mean, would be senseless in an anticorruption context. I also think that—we have had some success in interesting men in this topic. In fact, our in-country project coordinator in Morocco is a male who has become every bit as passionate as I am about this, and has had some success working with other civil society organizations and ministries in Morocco to try to get it on their agenda. The flipside of that is at an international anticorruption conference, I had someone who had been, I think, a founder of EI say, oh, sextortion. Oh, political correctness. Which, of course, outraged me because this is not about political correctness. I mean, you think about it. Half the world’s population is female. And here you have a phenomenon that is systematically depriving women of economic opportunity, education, political voice, every single domain. And yet, we have come to accept that empowering women, educating them, giving them a set at the table is one of the keys to achieving our international goals of prosperity, of democratic governance, of peace and security in the world. And this is systematically undermining it. And everyone should care deeply about doing something to address it. With respect to the question about other forms of harassment, to be useful as a term sextortion can’t encompass everything. When we first started working on this, our members in Tanzania, who were our partners in the original project—and have continued to do a lot of excellent work on this issue, in part with U.N. Women’s support—wanted to include domestic violence, female genital mutilation, all forms of discrimination and sexual abuse of women. And we had to back away. And that was how we came up with the definition, in fact. To say, no, when we’re talking about sextortion, what are we talking about? We want it to communicate something that is very clear. There is some overlap between sextortion and sexual harassment. But in the U.S., for example, hostile environment sexual harassment, which would include the kinds of things you were describing, would not be sextortion because there is not the quid pro quo. It is not corrupt. It may occur from coworkers who don’t hold any position of entrusted authority or any power—I mean, that’s not always the case—but they’re not the supervisor. Clearly, the quid pro quo sexual harassment, yes. But the other forms are something—are something else. And if we could get people to recognize at least this one form of corruption—one gendered form of corruption—which, to me, is—there’s a spectrum. And wherever the gray areas may lie in sexual relations, there is a bright line. Someone entrusted with authority should not be abusing that authority in exchange for personal favor, period, whether it’s a judge, a police officer, a teacher, or a government official. And that’s the line that sextortion tries to draw. FATAFTA: I think Nancy said it all. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Yes. Q: Hi. My name is Nina Schwalbe and I work in the area of public health. And kind of came through this issue in education around the effect it was having on HIV transmission in some countries. And I was working for UNICEF and was surprised at the level of complacency around this issue in education in schools. And what you said about it being systemic, systematic, and hidden. The answer UNICEF gives to why it’s OK to not take this up as an issue in schools is it’s about the judicial system. And until in a country you can get the judicial system working and get the teachers prosecuted and some form of accountability, there’s really nothing you can do. Could you respond to UNICEF, please? HENDRY: Well, I, you know, share your—(laughter)—outrage at the way in which, you know, people who work in areas where they would share these values of protecting women and girls can be so indifferent to this kind of harm. And I’ve heard other stories of, you know, aid workers picking up girls along the side of the road after school. And there they are to deliver aid, to help alleviate suffering. It’s quite—it’s quite striking. You know, there are many aspects to this. And of course, one reason why women are reluctant to report sextortion and other forms of sexual abuse is the belief that doing so will not serve any good purpose, that they go to the police station, the police may not be sympathetic, they will encounter a lot of administrative obstacles, and that if they eventually have a complaint that makes it into the court system that, again, the judges may not be sympathetic, and they won’t receive any redress, any justice. And in the meantime, they have perhaps brought a certain amount of shame upon themselves and their family by being public about these allegations. So that is a huge problem in tackling this issue. Q: But we do have survey data that shows—we have survey data that shows it’s systemic—(this is ?) systemic. So how do you get past that individual—we have survey data. HENDRY: We do have survey data. And especially in Africa, in the education arena, there is a lot of evidence that shows a high percentage of girls who are subjected to this. I guess I was trying to address the issue of the judiciary. And obviously as an association that works with women judges, that is one of our focuses. And as part of the projects we have done, there have been seminars for people in the justice sector to try to educate them about this and make them more gender-sensitive, more aware of these issues, more aware of how they can apply existing legal frameworks to address them. At the end of the day, we may need some changes in some of the legal frameworks. It may be that there are not always effective remedies in every country for this. The issue of—you also—you still have to get people to come forward to lodge complaints. And as the #MeToo movement has shown, unless you have a critical mass of people, what happens to a woman or a girl can be extraordinarily damaging. And we don’t have compete answers for that. We have to have safe, confidential reporting mechanisms. Transparency International works on trying to do that. But you also have to have—there are challenges with proof. I know people have been looking at technology as a possible way of dealing with some of these issues, creating—there are applications. Not In My Country has worked on one in the educational context, where people can report this and they can gather information and keep it confidential until there is a critical mass, so that if one person might not be believed perhaps a dozen would be. They haven’t yet sorted through how to deal with all of that, how to both—at what point, you know, you would have authority to make it public, how you would finance the litigation, what the results would be. But that has been part of their intent, is to find some way of collecting this information and putting people in a better position to vindicate their rights. FATAFTA: Yeah. One thing to add to Nancy’s point is—I mean, fixing the judiciary is one aspect. But the other important aspect is to raise awareness about corruption and sextortion, and to empower people to speak up and to report on these crimes when they happen and provide legal assistance and channel these complaints until they seek redress and they seek—and they—and they get justice. I mean, from TI’s experience and the work we do, of course we look at fixing the judiciary, or at least calling for an independent judiciary, having anticorruption legislations in place, such as with protection of whistleblowers, access to information, conflict of interest, antibribery laws, and so on and so forth. But these laws remain on paper if you don’t have a population that is empowered to hold those corrupt officials to account. And so that piece of the puzzle is missing. And it’s very important in the fight against corruption. It’s—I mean, one hand doesn’t clap. So on the one hand, the state needs to be ready in having strong institutions that are able to address corruption in all of its forms. You need also a population that is able to participate and to report on corruption, whether as victims or as witnesses. And that’s what we do in our advocacy and legal centers around the world, where we ask—and we do a lot of campaigns including mobile caravans and reaching out to vulnerable communities to make them aware about their rights and what they should do. And then, of course, you run into this vicious circle that if they are indeed courageous enough to report on corruption against a certain public official or some corrupt individual, and the judiciary is not—is not able to give justice to those who are affected, then these people lose trust in the judiciary, they lose trust in the state, and they develop political apathy, which, again, is a challenge to fighting against corruption. So it’s a—it can be a vicious circle. But I think both aspects are extremely important, and they complement each other. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: All right. Two things. I’ll just mention also I was recently on a panel, and I think one of the imperatives of the #MeToo moment really is for everybody in our respective fields to kind of dream big and think about, OK, if we’re having a larger collective voice, if we’re—if this issue is actually making headlines and seeping its way into circles that it normally was not present, if we wanted to dream big what would it look like if there was increased reporting. How would it affect a policy change in the public health sector, in the judicial sector, the fill-in-the-blank sector? And so kind of really thinking big about what a larger voice might mean for larger data collection, which—and then what that might mean for kind of real policy implications. We have about—a little less than 10 minutes at this point and several people in the queue. So I’m going to ask folks if we just kind of be brief with our questions and answers, so that we can reach as many people as possible. Thanks. Q: Thank you. I’ll be very brief. Jessica Neuwirth. I was wondering about sextortion in the United Nations itself, and whether you think the appointment of a victim rights—victims’ rights advocate last year has had any impact. FATAFTA: Sorry. I didn’t hear the question very clearly. Q: I was asking about inside the United Nations itself, a program for prevention of sexual exploitation and abuse, and the allegations of food for sex or other abuses of authority within the United Nations in various agencies, and the appointment last year by the secretary-general of a victims’ rights advocate to help promote justice within the system, whether you’ve been following that and if you have any thoughts about whether it’s been helpful. HENDRY: I haven’t been following it closely enough to have a view about how effective that has been. I do know it has been a huge problem in the U.N., in, you know, reading some of the reports about what has happened with the Syrian refugees. Certainly people have been critical that the U.S. has known about this for seven years and nothing was done. The example I cited in Haiti is not the only example with U.N. peacekeepers. It clearly is an issue that needs to be addressed, and I’m glad to see that the U.N. is taking steps to address it, but I have not followed up to see how effective those steps have been. FATAFTA: Yes, similarly, I haven’t been following up very closely, but I know—and we’ve all heard—about so many allegations and reports about sexual exploitation, and sextortion in countries like Syria, Haiti, Congo, and so on and so forth. I mean, the appointment of an official to address these issues is an important step. Following up on the commitments is something that we look forward to, I mean, to clear up corruption with the U.N. system as well. Q: Hi, I’m Craig Charney of Charney Research. We’ve done a lot of work both on corruption and on sexual harassment and gender violence, but always separately, so I was intrigued by the idea of considering them together. And obviously sextortion, by definition, involves corruption as well. To what extent does the reverse seem to be true? In other words, do you have corruption without sextortion or do they tend to be pretty strongly correlated? FATAFTA: So you question whether there can be corruption without sextortion? Q: Well, not conceptually, but in practice—sorry—in practice whether they tend to be correlated. FATAFTA: So, I mean, the answer is of course corruption can—I mean, you can ask a woman to give a monetary bribe, but when you look at it—when you look at it in a context of gender inequality—so to give a clear example, when we talk about having access to water, or interacting with public officials, and because women are already at a disadvantage in certain contexts where they are not able to provide a monetary bribe, sometimes that can translate into a sexual bribe. We have seen that—there were some examples relating to the refugee crisis in 2015 where a number of women who wanted to smuggle to the borders through Turkey and then to Europe—because they couldn’t pay, because they didn’t have money, they were asked for sexual bribes. I mean, corruption can occur at all levels, in all sectors, and it involves both genders—or all genders, to be more politically correct—but it can also take a sexual form. So I don’t know if I am addressing your question correctly but, in my understanding, that of course corruption can stand—as in money corruption or other advantages other than sexual favors. HENDRY: One thought I would add. I do think sometimes about to what extent these things are fungible. Clearly there are situations where they are. You find a case where an immigration officer is offering protection to undocumented immigrants, and he is taking money from the men and sexual favors from the women—same protection, same everything except the gender and the currency of the bribe. On the other hand, you come across cases like the immigration adjudicator in Canada who offers a favorable decision on an application for refugee status and it—if they can do something on the side and she can keep it secret. I don’t know this immigration adjudicator, but I find it entirely plausible that this man would never consider asking for money in exchange for a favorable decision and that there is something about the way in which we view money and sex—very differently—and men—because it is still mostly men who do this, who demand sexual favors—do it without thinking it is corrupt, whether they think it is an entitlement of their position, whether they are deluded about the woman’s interest in this—I don’t pretend to have any insight into that. But I do think there are these two categories where, in one, yes, it’s just—it’s corruption, and it’s a different form of currency, and in another, people are seeing the sexual abuse differently than they see the corruption. Q: Thanks, those are very good answers. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: In the interest of time and trying to capture as many voices as possible, I’m going to ask folks if they could ask their questions, and then we’ll let the panelists respond as best as possible, keeping in mind that we have, according to that clock, two minutes, but we’ll extend a couple of minutes over. Q: Thank you, first, for very stimulating presentations. There are a lot of powerful people around this table, and you haven’t asked anyone to do anything yet, and how can we sit here without taking home something to do. So what can civil society do to get UNCAC—U-N-C-A-C—to adopt gender in its mandate? The issue of civil society and the U.N. is a huge issue. They hate us basically. But I think that if enough people got up and decided to protest collectively, it might do something. I was wondering also if Transparency International keeps a list of corrupt countries, and where would the U.S. be on that list. (Laughter.) I’m curious. FATAFTA: We do have that list— Q: I know the answer, by the way. (Laughter.) FATAFTA: —(laughs)—we do have that list, and the U.S. is still considered to be a clean country. MS:     : Damn! (Laughter.) FATAFTA: But we wait for a few years. I mean—I’m making a joke. For the UNCAC, I do agree that civil society has a very small space, and I personally witnessed that when I was at the UNCAC meeting in Vienna. There is very little room for—at least at that conference, to influence delegations, official delegations, and there is a different dynamic, of course, between the delegations. There are different economic national interests at play, different governments attacking each other, taking their own geopolitics into the table. So they are there with different interests, so to speak. And for our civil society, we’re there to monitor—to monitor the implementation of their obligations as part of that convention, and we’re there also to speak up and to—as part of these side events, to address issues. And I think that we need to use the coalition because obviously there is a civil society coalition attached to the UNCAC. As part of that coalition still—gender is not—is not a prominent issue on their agenda, so I think there is a lot of conversation and discussion to happen among civil society first to, A, put sextortion as part of our language already—mainstream sextortion and other as a gendered form of corruption. I must admit that we still—as an anti-corruption community, we’re still guilty of not mainstreaming gender in our language, in our programs, in our initiatives around the world and, I mean, Transparency International is taking a step in that direction. I think there needs to be more collaboration and cooperation on that front. So going back to—going back to the conversation and what’s going to happen for next year, I think that’s one thing that I am definitely pushing internally at TI, and also to explore within the coalition whether we—or what we can do. Maybe we can have a session there on sextortion as part of the UNCAC side events. But, yeah, thanks a lot for bringing that up. I think there is room for more effort on that front. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: OK, Nancy, is there anything you want to say very specifically on action steps? HENDRY: Let’s just hear the remaining questions— BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: OK. OK. HENDRY: —because I know people are going to leave, and I wanted— BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Right, so— HENDRY: —to be sure that we have a chance to— BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: —I have three people in the queue right now, so go ahead. Q: Mine is very quick. It is the #MeToo movement in the title, and we haven’t talked, heard anything about any—whether there is an increase in reports, and if so, is your—are any of you doing much to protect women who are coming forth—not celebrities, but women in much more vulnerable situations? BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Thank you. Lynn? Q: Oh, Lynn Schafran from Legal Momentum. There is a model for aggregating this information so that if people want to report confidentially and then only go public if there is a critical mass, there is an organization called Callisto, which has developed this model for the United States where it’s specifically focused on campuses, but it’s beginning to spread to a more communitywide model. You can make a report on the web to Callisto. You can indicate that you want to know if someone else makes a report naming this individual as the offender, and then, if you find out that in point of fact there are two or three other women or men who are having a problem with X, you can decide collectively if you want to go public with this. Now, obviously, this poses some very interesting challenges in terms of the many countries that you are interested in and really making people feel secure that this information will be held confidentially and so on, but it’s worth exploring. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Thank you. (Pause.) And just to finish up with Sophie. Q: Hi. I’m Sophie Krasik, and I am part of a group of young women that’s organizing a strategy to launch a decentralized social movement to win structural changes to how sexual assault is dealt with in the United States. And one issue that has been raised in the #MeToo movement and in the campus movement that I was a part of a few years ago is what do we actually do with all of these men. It’s not like we can just banish them all to an island, like, we can’t actually jail, or expel, or fire our way out of this problem, so what are we actually going to do to intervene in these cycles of violence and not only rely on reporting as being the be-all, end-all way that we’re going to change our culture? MS.     : Get rid of Donald Trump. (Laughter.) Q: Yeah, so I guess like to what extent are your organizations thinking about alternative models for justice and healing that are actually designed to break cycles of violence? HENDRY: So just a few concluding thoughts. One, I have a few copies of a tool kit that we prepared. It’s also on our website for anyone who is particularly interested. And I would note we worked with Thomson Reuters on a combatting sextortion report that looks at the legal frameworks in nine different jurisdictions to see how adequate they are. To me, there are many, many things we could ask people to do, but the biggest challenge is just making it part of the framework of how we think about these issues, and this is one of my favorite examples. At the IACC in Malaysia, the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission distributed this public education brochure, and you look at it and think if you were a woman who had just experienced a sextortion demand, what in this definition of forms of bribe would lead you to believe that you had any legal recourse, that what had happened to you was a form of bribery, that this was a form of corruption. If you look at it—money, bonuses, positions, discounts, services, votes, wages and gifts—and that is how we consistently think about corruption, and that is why it’s so important to try to get this to change. My other favorite example of how we’re just blinded to this issue, and it doesn’t even make its way into any of our strategies, any of our conversation, is two World Bank studies. They thought that corruption might have a gender-adverse impact, and so they asked male and female entrepreneurs whether they had been asked to pay bribes. Well, they asked whether they had been asked to pay bribes, and because they concluded that men and women were paying bribes in roughly equal proportion, they saw no adverse gender impact. Another economist asked instead about whether people had frequently heard of sexual favors being raised for the same kinds of business licenses, permits, and as you can see, she got shares of 15 to 30 percent. She asked a different question; got a different answer. The first group of economists literally did not see the problem, and I think that’s why I’m so passionate about, yes, we have to talk about it, we have to get UNCAC, we have to get the Global Judicial Integrity Network, we have to get the U.N. Human Rights Commission—we have to get the international anti-corruption community and the international women’s rights communities to work together on this issue that implicates the agendas of both. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: So I have violated a cardinal CFR rule, which is ending—starting and ending on time. We started on time, but—I’m going to let Marwa have one minute of last remarks on #MeToo, and then we will conclude and have side conversations afterwards. FATAFTA: Yes, so on the #MeToo movement, something we—I personally noticed in the Arab world, where I come from, once that campaign kicked in, that all of my friends and other women started sharing on social media, and on Facebook, also the #MeToo hashtag. And personally I couldn’t describe the feeling of when someone speaks up how much it empowers me also to speak up and to say, yes, I was also sexually harassed. And in the context of our project, there were Moroccan actresses who also came out and said we were also sexually harassed and we were also asked for sexual favors by directors, by producers, in order to have certain roles, or in order to be in certain places. And these women being out in the media and talking with full power and without any shame about the issue I think is very, very important, and it encourages other women. I know that, of course, if you are an actress, you enjoy more attention and—public attention, and that can give you a bit of protection, maybe, in some cases; in some other cases more bad attention, so to speak. However, it is very important for these women who are out there who do have that attention already and the spotlight to use their position in order to put the spotlight on these issues. Now with other women, one very important aspect of reporting on sextortion or on corruption in general is that you need to protect the reporters of corruption, and so to protect their privacy, to protect their identity also so when—in these centers that we have, as we work on ensuring the confidentiality of the information submitted in a lot of cases. And that’s what Transparency International works on in terms of national legislations, is to ensure that, for example, with whistle-blower protection laws, that the identity of the person coming forward should always be protected because, unfortunately, we do live in a world where people who speak up can have—I mean, can be harmed in the process, or can be punished. So it is very important, and we’re still at the—it’s a continuous effort to empower women to speak up and give them the courage, and the help, and the support—social support, legal support that they need to come forward. Unfortunately, that’s not always the case but, I mean, we continue with our efforts in trying to give women the right tools to seek justice. HENDRY: You are doing a lot, so thank you very much. BETTINGER-LÓPEZ: Please join me in thanking and recognizing Nancy and Marwa. (Applause.) We’ll be outside if folks have additional questions. (END) This is an uncorrected transcript.  
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